Tuesday 4/17/2012 Free Service Plays ( Premiums & Comps )

[rustyw]

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[rustyw]

Tuesday's Best MLB Bets
By Covers.com

Cleveland Indians at Seattle Mariners (+110, 7)

Averaging an MLB-best 6.5 runs, the Indians have homered in each of their first eight games, the fourth-longest streak in franchise history.

Rejuvenated Travis Hafner (2 HRs, 5 RBIs), the 34-year-old DH, and 2B Jason Kipnis (3 HRs, 7 RBIs) are leading the power surge. Hafner hit a 468-foot bomb in Sunday's 13-7 blowout of Kansas City.

"Wow! He's hit two balls already that I guess the people in Cleveland were used to seeing before he hurt his shoulder," manager Manny Acta said of Hafner. "I've seen a lot of games here and I've never seen a ball hit that far."

Cleveland's offense will present a major challenge to Seattle starter Kevin Millwood, who is trying to revive his career at age 37.

The Mariners have built their winning record on the backs of the A’s. Seattle has played the A’s seven times, getting five of its seven wins against them. Seattle ranks 13th in the AL in slugging percentage (.353), ahead of only Oakland.

Cleveland scored at least eight runs in its first three road games for the first time in franchise history.

Pick: Over

Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays (-130, 8)

Toronto saved face with a win over Baltimore in its series finale after two bullpen collapses in the late innings. The Blue Jays' starters have been stellar to begin the season, posting a collective 2.90 ERA, second lowest in the American League.

Tampa Bay also did some damage control with a 1-0 win over Boston Monday, snapping a four-game losing streak. The Rays' offense is sputtering, scoring an average of only 2.8 runs in the last five games and could have a tough time against Ricky Romero.

Romero picked up his first win of 2012 with an impressive outing versus Boston, giving up only one run on three hits over 8 1/3 innings. The lefty is 5-4 with a career 3.18 ERA against Tampa Bay, including a 3-2 mark and 2.02 ERA in five starts versus the Rays last season.

Jose Bautista is getting warmer with a hit in all three games against the Orioles. However, the reigning home run king hasn’t gone yard since opening day and has also failed to drive in a run since putting two on the board on April 5. Tampa Bay leaked runs to the Red Sox, getting outscored 31-13 in that four-game set.

Pick: Blue Jays

[rustyw]

Tuesday's Best NHL Bet
By Covers.com

Nashville Predators at Detroit Red Wings (-165, 5)

The one constant for the Detroit Red Wings this season has been a decisive edge on their home ice. That quickly went out the window in their playoff home opener, leaving Detroit in a perilous situation Tuesday night as it prepares to host the Nashville Predators in Game 4 of their Western Conference quarterfinal series.

Nashville posted a 3-2 win in Game 3 at Joe Louis Arena – its second straight victory in Detroit counting the regular season – to take a 2-1 lead in the series.

Even though Detroit’s penalty-killing unit has done a superb job of keeping Nashville’s top-ranked power play in check, the number of infractions whistled against the Red Wings is grating on the players.

Detroit was the second-least penalized team (to Nashville) in the regular season but ranks third in the playoffs with 19 penalties.

"You don't want to be wasting your energy killing penalties the whole game,” Drew Miller told reporters.

The Red Wings also need some of their top scorers to step up. Jiri Hudler, who had 25 goals during the regular season, doesn’t have a point in the series, while 23-goal scorer Valtteri Filppula has only one assist.

Pick: Under

[rustyw]

Tuesday’s Betting Tips
By Covers.com

Who’s hot

NBA: Boston is 6-1-1 against the spread in its last eight and have covered in four of their last five vs. New York.

NBA: Cleveland has covered in six of its last eight and is 7-1 against the spread in its last eight games in Detroit.

NHL: New Jersey has won seven of its last eight.

NHL: Phoenix has won six of its last seven.

MLB: Toronto is 21-9 in its last 30 games when coming off an off day.

MLB: Texas has won 14 of its last 20 road games.

Who’s not

NBA: Minnesota is 1-6 against the spread in its last seven meetings with Memphis.

NBA: Los Angeles Lakers have covered just two of their last 12 home games.

NHL: Detroit is 2-12 in its last 14 games against a team with a winning record.

NHL: The under is 1-7-1 in Chicago’s last nine home games.

MLB: The Chicago Cubs have won just one of Ryan Dempster’s last six starts.

MLB: Boston is 9-21 in its last 30.

Key stat

1 – Real Madrid has conceded just one goal in five away games during Champions League play. Madrid, which hasn’t lost in 20 games in all competition is set at +160 for the first leg of its semifinal series against Bayern Munich (+150). The draw is pegged at +225.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Marc Gasol, Memphis Grizzlies - Gasol suffered a hyperextended left knee in Sunday's loss to the New Orleans Hornets. Gasol was hurt when he banged knees with Xavier Henry in the fourth quarter. He is scheduled to undergo an MRI exam. The 7-foot-1 center entered Sunday's game averaging 15.0 points and 9.5 rebounds, which are both career highs.

Game of the day

Boston Celtics at New York Knicks (N/A)

Notable quotable

"I think some are really kind of weak calls. We just have to not worry about that, because we can't do anything about it. But of course, it's a little bit frustrating with the inconsistency of some calls. We slashed the stick and it's laying there and the stick doesn't even break. They do the same thing to Mule [Johan Franzen], but no call is made. I think it's a little bit inconsistency from the refs." – Detroit Red Wings defenseman Jonathan Ericsson after his team took 19 minor penalties over the first three games of Detroit’s series with Nashville.

Notes and tips

Chicago Bulls forward Luol Deng is questionable for Tuesday's game with a rib injury he picked up in Sunday's overtime win against Detroit. Deng, who is already playing with a torn ligament in his wrist, took a shot from Pistons guard Ben Gordon to the ribs, according to the Chicago Tribune. Deng tied a season low with two points on 1-of-8 shooting in 44 minutes. He went into Sunday's game averaging 15.7 points, 6.5 rebounds and a league-high 39.4 minutes per game.

Vancouver Canucks left wing Daniel Sedin will return to practice in hopes of playing in the postseason. Sedin has missed the past 12 games due to a concussion. He is expected to join the Canucks in Los Angeles for a Tuesday practice. Vancouver coach Alain Vigneault did not say if he thought Sedin would be ready to return to game action. Vancouver, which finished with the NHL's best record during the regular season, could use a boost provided by Sedin as the Canucks are in a 3-0 hole to the Kings in the best-of-seven series. Sedin had 30 goals and 37 assists this season.

San Francisco starter Madison Bumgarner climbs the mound Tuesday a day after he inked a fat five-year, $35 million contract extension. The 22-year-old lefty is 21-20 with a 3.12 ERA over the last three seasons and is coming off a win at Colorado in which he gave up just one earned run in 7 1/3 innings of work. Bumgarner shares the hill with Philadelphia’s Joe Blanton.

Pittsburgh Penguins forward James Neal and Arron Asham will have hearings with the NHL following their actions during Sunday's Game 3 of the Eastern Conference quarterfinal series versus the Philadelphia Flyers. Neal's hearings will focus on his hit on rookie Sean Couturier during the third period - as well as his charging penalty against All-Star Claude Giroux later in the session. Asham's hearing will stem from his cross-check on rookie Brayden Schenn during the first period.

[rustyw]

MLB

Hot Pitchers
-- GGonzalez is 4-0, 1.82 in his last six starts.
-- Dempster is 0-1, 1.88 in his first two starts this season.
-- Delgado is 2-0, 2.16 in his last five starts. JSantana allowed one run in ten IP in two starts LY.
-- Billingsley allowed one run in 14.1 IP in winning both his '12 starts. Gallardo is 1-1, 3.24 in his last four home starts.
-- Cueto is 1-0, 2.25 in his first two starts this season. Lohse is 2-0, 1.35 in his first two starts this season.
-- Bass is 2-0, 1.40 in four big league starts, but hasn't finished sixth in any of those starts.
-- Kennedy is 2-0, 2.84 in his first two starts this year. Karstens is 0-2, 2.65 in his last three starts.
-- Bumgarner is 5-1, 0.87 in his last six home starts. Blanton has a 3.09 RA in his last seven starts.

-- Romero is 2-0, 2.25 in his last three home starts.
-- Lewis is 1-0, 1.42 in his two starts this season. Lester is 0-1, 2.40 in his first two starts this season.
-- BChen has a 2.45 RA in his first two starts this season.
-- Ross was 2-2, 2.31 in six starts LY, before getting hurt.
-- Millwood is 1-0, 1.38 in his last two starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- WRodriguez is 0-2, 5.56 in his two starts this season, but four of the seven runs he allowed were unearned.
-- JJohnson allowed nine runs in 9.2 IP in two starts this season.
-- 49-year old Moyer allowed eight runs in 10.2 IP in losing his first two starts this season.

-- Liriano is 0-1, 12.00 in two starts so far this season. Sabathia gave up nine runs in 12 IP in two starts this season.
-- Niemann has a 6.26 RA in his last five starts.
-- WChen allowed four runs in 5.2 IP in his first big league start. Danks allowed seven runs in 11.2 IP in his two starts this season.
-- Rookie Smyly allowed one run in four IP (90 PT) in his first major league start.
-- Haren allowed eight runs in 10.1 IP in his first two '12 starts.
-- Masterson has a 7.07 RA in his last six starts.

Hot Teams
-- Nationals won six of their last seven games.
-- Atlanta won five of its last six games. Mets won seven of their first ten games.
-- Dodgers won nine of their first ten games.
-- Cardinals won five of their last seven games.
-- Arizona is 4-0 at home, with three one-run wins.
-- Phillies won four of their last six games.

-- Texas won its last four games, allowing nine runs. Red Sox won three of their first four home games.
-- Bronx won five of its last seven games.
-- Orioles won three of their last four games.
-- Tigers won seven of their first ten games.
-- Indians won their last three games, scoring 32 runs. Seattle won its last two games, allowing three runs.


Cold Teams
-- Astros lost five of their last six games.
-- Miami is 0-3 in game following a win. Cubs lost five of their last seven games.
-- Brewers lost their last four games, allowing 27 runs.
-- Cincinnati lost five of its last seven games.
-- Padres lost eight of their first eleven games. Colorado lost six of its last nine games.
-- Pirates lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Giants lost their last two games, scoring three runs.
-- Tampa Bay lost five of its last seven games.
-- Minnesota lost seven of its first ten games.
-- Royals lost five of their last six games.
-- Oakland is 3-6 in its last nine games. Angels lost six of ten games.

Totals
-- Last seven Houston games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Five of Cubs' last seven games went over the total.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in Dodger road games this season.
-- Six of last seven Cincinnati games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven San Diego games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in Pirate games this season.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last fove San Francisco games.

-- Three of last four Minnesota games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Tampa Bay road games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Boston games went over the total.
-- Seven of nine White Sox games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight Kansas City games went over the total.
-- Five of six Oakland road games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Seattle games stayed under the total.

[rustyw]

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Pacers won/covered their last four road games.
-- Memphis is 10-3 in last 13 games, but lost three of last four on road.
-- New York won/covered nine of ten home games under Woodson. Celtics won six of their last seven games.
-- Spurs won six of their last seven road games. Lakers won/covered three of their last four home games.

Cold Teams
-- 76ers lost six of their last eight games.
-- Pistons lost five of their last six games. Cleveland lost 13 of last 16 games, but covered six of last eight.
-- Minnesota lost its last ten games (2-8 vs spread).

Wear-and-Tear
-- Pacers: 4th game/5 nites. 76ers: 2nd in row after two nites off.
-- Cavaliers: 6th game/8 nites. Pistons: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Grizzlies: 5th game/7 nites. T'wolves: 5th game/7 nites.
-- Celtics: 8th game/11 nites. Knicks: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Spurs: 7th game/10 nites. Lakers: 3rd game/5 nites.

Totals
-- Over is 8-3 in Indiana's last eleven games.
-- Eight of last nine Detroit games went over total.
-- Under is 8-2 in last ten Memphis road games.
-- Four of last five Boston road games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Laker games went over the total.

Back-to-Back
-- Pacers are 6-3 vs spread on road if they played at home nite before. 76ers are 0-3 vs spread at home if they played on road nite before.
-- Timberwolves are 2-4 vs spread at home if they played nite before.
-- San Antonio is 2-8-2 vs spread on road if it played nite before

[rustyw]

Today's MLB Picks
Chicago Cubs at Miami

The Cubs look to take advantage of a Marlins team that is coming off a 5-4 win over Houston and is 0-5 in Josh Johnson's last 5 starts after scoring 5 or more runs in their previous game. Chicago is the pick (+155) according to Dunkel, which has the Cubs favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+155). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, APRIL 17
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Houston at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Rodriguez) 13.461; Washington (Gonzalez) 15.833
Dunkel Line: Washington by 2 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Washington (-170); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-170); Under

Game 903-904: Chicago Cubs at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Dempster) 15.096; Miami (Johnson) 13.997
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Miami (-175); 7
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+155); Over

Game 905-906: NY Mets at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Santana) 14.637; Atlanta (Delgado) 15.189
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-110); Under

Game 907-908: LA Dodgers at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 17.175; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 14.266
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 3; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+100); Over

Game 909-910: Cincinnati at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.891; St. Louis (Lohse) 15.531
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+100); Under

Game 911-912: San Diego at Colorado (8:40 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Bass) 14.674; Colorado (Moyer) 14.869
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-115); Over

Game 913-914: Pittsburgh at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Karstens) 15.534; Arizona (Kennedy) 14.891
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+170); Under

Game 915-916: Philadelphia at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Blanton) 14.050; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.167
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-145); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-145); Over

Game 917-918: Minnesota at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Liriano) 15.003; NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.959
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-230); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-230); Over

Game 919-920: Tampa Bay at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Niemann) 15.993; Toronto (Romero) 14.311
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Toronto (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+120); Under

Game 921-922: Texas at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lewis) 16.930; Boston (Lester) 15.388
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+100); Under

Game 923-924: Baltimore at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Chen) 15.232; White Sox (Danks) 15.770
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-135); Over

Game 925-926: Detroit at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Smyly) 16.474; Kansas City (Chen) 14.127
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Detroit (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-120); Over

Game 927-928: Oakland at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Ross) 15.349; LA Angels (Haren) 14.040
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-200); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+170); Under

Game 929-930: Cleveland at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 15.287; Seattle (Millwood) 15.837
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+105); Over

[rustyw]

DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 575-293 (.662)
ATS: 463-440 (.513)
ATS Vary Units: 1206-1076 (.528)
Over/Under: 440-454 (.492)
Over/Under Vary Units: 867-954 (.476)

Indiana 91, PHILADELPHIA 90
DETROIT 97, Cleveland 90
Memphis 100, MINNESOTA 95
NEW YORK 91, Boston 89
San Antonio 100, L.A. LAKERS 97

[rustyw]

DCI NHL

Season: 419-311 (.574)

Eastern Conference Quarterfinals
Game 3, best-of-7
NEW JERSEY 3, Florida 2
Western Conference Quarterfinals
Game 3, best-of-7
CHICAGO 3, Phoenix 2
Game 4, best-of-7
Nashville vs. DETROIT: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

[rustyw]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 830- 607 (57 %) over the last 3 years PLUS

Free winner Tues: Over the total 7 Indians/Seattle

[rustyw]

Hondo

The Twins and Phillies performed to Hondo’s expectations last night, delivering a double-delight that caused the deficit to plummet to a reasonably manageable 105 malzones.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch will try some Dempster-diving with the Cubs in Miami – 10 units. Also, he hopes to cash in against Bobby V.’s dissension-wracked Bosawx – 10 units on the Rangers over Lester, aka Jonny Lager

[rustyw]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Yankees Monday.

Tuesday it’s the Knicks. The deficit is 611 sirignanos.

[rustyw]

Today's NHL Picks
Phoenix at Chicago

The Coyotes look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is 2-5 in its last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Phoenix is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Coyotes favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+130). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, APRIL 17
Time Posted 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 7-8: Florida at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.495; New Jersey 12.593
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-170); 5
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-170); Under

Game 9-10: Nashville at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.862; Detroit 11.471
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-170); 5
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+150); Over

Game 11-12: Phoenix at Chicago (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 12.356; Chicago 12.879
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-150); 5
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+130); Over

[rustyw]

Today's NBA Picks
Memphis at Minnesota

The Grizzlies look to take advantage of a Minnesota team that is coming off a 111-88 loss to Indiana and is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games after allowing 100 points or more in the previous game. Memphis is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Grizzlies favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-4). Here are all of today's picks

TUESDAY, APRIL 17
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: Indiana at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 123.060; Philadelphia 118.491
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 4 1/2; 181
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 3 1/2; 184 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+3 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: Cleveland at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 109.462; Detroit 114.858
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 5 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 7; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+7); Over

Game 505-506: Memphis at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 119.932; Minnesota 109.005
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 11; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 4; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-4); N/A

Game 507-508: Boston at New York (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 122.541; New York 120.305
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 2; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Pick; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Boston; N/A

Game 509-510: San Antonio at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 125.455; LA Lakers 120.517
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 5; 207
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 2 1/2; No Total
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-2 1/2); N/A

[rustyw]

Sportbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Chicago Blackhawks -145 over Phoenix Coyotes