No. 10 Xavier Musketeers
vs. No. 3 Baylor Bears (-6, 142.5)
Offense Vs Defense
Tu Holloway knows senior guards and NCAA tournaments go together like Craig Sager and pastel suits. Xavier's leading scorer continued his recent tear over the weekend, scoring 21 points against Lehigh after netting 25 in the first-round win over Notre Dame. Holloway is the heart, soul and spark for the Musketeers' offense, a six-footer who averaged 17 points and 5.1 assists during the regular season and has taken his game to another level at the Big Dance. Holloway can beat anyone off the dribble, has unfailing confidence and finishes well at the rim for a little guy. A player who's not little but equally vital for Xavier is 7-0 center Kenny Frease, who played to his dominant potential and manhandled Lehigh for 25 points and 12 rebounds. It won't be nearly such a cakewalk against Baylor's 6-11 sophomore Perry Jones III, who bypassed the NBA draft last year because he so badly wanted to play in the NCAA tournament. As always, though, Holloway is the difference-maker.EDGE: Xavier
Defense Vs Offense
Jones put the NBA millions on hold last year because he wanted a chance to play in the NCAA tournament, having been suspended late last season for receiving improper benefits. If he was indeed itching for a chance to play in the Big Dance, that desire has not been evident in his play. The 6-11 sophomore scored a total of nine points in the first two games, looking detached and uninvolved in the offense. Luckily for Baylor, he's had plenty of help: the hot-shooting Bears got a wonderfully balanced scoring attack (four players in double figures) in their first-round win over South Dakota State and sophomore guard Brady Heslip exploded in the second round for 27 points on nine 3-pointers against Colorado. But Baylor isn't playing South Dakota State and Colorado anymore, and to beat tournament-tested, battle-hardened Xavier, Jones needs to play like the future NBA lottery pick he is. There's no reason he can't do it, and the guess here is the Sweet 16 matchup against Frease will be a busting-out party. EDGE: Baylor
The postseason magic of the maestro Holloway will be put to the test against the supremely talented Baylor Bears. Holloway can take a game over and, if this one's close late, there's no doubt that he will take it over. But Baylor has the potential to salt this one away early. Haslip has been an assassin from downtown in the tournament, hitting 14 of 22 3-pointers in two games. Senior forward Quincy Acy and junior guard Pierre Jackson are 20-point threats every night. But the crucial question is, will the real Perry Jones III please stand up? And post-up, rebound and score, too? A top-5 NBA draft pick doesn't average 4.5 points in an NCAA tournament that he publicly stated was his reason for returning to college. If Jones flips the switch, there won't be anything Xavier, Holloway or Frease can do about it. EDGE: Baylor
All Trends Listed are 80% or Better
No. 10 Xavier Musketeers Trends :
Musketeers are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog.
Musketeers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
Musketeers are 16-4-2 ATS in their last 22 NCAA Tournament games.
No. 10 Xavier Musketeers Over / Under Trends :
Over is 5-0 in Musketeers last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
Over is 6-0 in Musketeers last 6 games as an underdog.
No. 3 Baylor Bears Trends :
Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite.
Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games.
Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite.
Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
No. 3 Baylor Bears Over / Under Trends :
Over is 4-0 in Bears last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 8-1 in Bears last 9 Friday games.
Over is 6-1 in Bears last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Over is 5-1 in Bears last 6 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Bears last 5 neutral site games.
Under is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Minneapolis Time 11:30 PM
Pinnacle Sports Book
Baylor Bears - 6
Baylor Bears Over / Under 142.5
Baylor Bears 77.45 %
Xavier Musketeers 33.60 %