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Thread: Friday FREE Service Plays (Premiums and Comps)

  1. #16

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    CAPPERS ACCESS
    Bulls

  2. #17

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    NCAAB DUNKEL

    Princeton at Harvard
    The Crimson look to bounce back from their loss at Cornell and build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games following a SU loss. Harvard is the pick (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has hte Crimson favored by 14. Dunkel Pick: Harvard (-8 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

    FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 5

    Game 821-822: Yale at Cornell
    Dunkel Ratings: Yale 42.828; Cornell 71.769
    Dunkel Line: Cornell by 29
    Vegas Line: Cornell by 21
    Dunkel Pick: Cornell (-21)

    Game 823-824: Pennsylvania at Dartmouth
    Dunkel Ratings: Pennsylvania 40.607; Dartmouth 43.453
    Dunkel Line: Dartmouth by 3
    Vegas Line: Dartmouth by 2
    Dunkel Pick: Dartmouth (-2)

    Game 825-826: Brown at Columbia
    Dunkel Ratings: Brown 41.214; Columbia 47.047
    Dunkel Line: Columbia by 6
    Vegas Line: Columbia by 4 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Columbia (-4 1/2)

    Game 827-828: Princeton at Harvard
    Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 52.215; Harvard 66.050
    Dunkel Line: Harvard by 14
    Vegas Line: Harvard by 8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Harvard (-8 1/2)

    Game 829-830: Loyola-MD at Rider
    Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-MD 49.217; Rider 55.277
    Dunkel Line: Rider by 6
    Vegas Line: Rider by 5
    Dunkel Pick: Rider (-5)

    Game 831-832: Canisius at Niagara
    Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 50.416; Niagara 57.094
    Dunkel Line: Niagara by 6 1/2
    Vegas Line: Niagara by 8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Canisius (+8 1/2)

    Game 833-834: Iona at Siena
    Dunkel Ratings: Iona 58.138; Siena 67.382
    Dunkel Line: Siena by 9
    Vegas Line: Siena by 8
    Dunkel Pick: Siena (-8)

    Game 835-836: St. Peter's at Fairfield
    Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 58.387; Fairfield 55.797
    Dunkel Line: St. Peter's by 2 1/2
    Vegas Line: Fairfield by 5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+5 1/2)

    Game 837-838: Marist at Manhattan
    Dunkel Ratings: Marist 38.127; Manhattan 55.769
    Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 17 1/2
    Vegas Line: Manhattan by 14
    Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (-14)

    Game 839-840: Weber State at Montana
    Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 59.150; Montana 57.823
    Dunkel Line: Weber State by 1 1/2
    Vegas Line: Montana by 5
    Dunkel Pick: Weber State (+5)

    Game 841-842: Idaho State at Montana State
    Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 45.367; Montana State 54.311
    Dunkel Line: Montana State by 9
    Vegas Line: Montana State by 8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Montana State (-8 1/2)

    Game 843-844: Portland State at Sacramento State
    Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 51.621; Sacramento State 47.370
    Dunkel Line: Portland State by 4 1/2
    Vegas Line: Portland State by 3
    Dunkel Pick: Portland State (-3)

    Game 845-846: Bethune-Cookman at Coppin State
    Dunkel Ratings: Bethune-Cookman 43.964; Coppin State 40.267
    Dunkel Line: Bethune-Cookman by 3 1/2
    Vegas Line: No Line
    Dunkel Pick: N/A

  3. #18

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    NCAAB WRITE-UP

    Friday, February 5

    Information on Friday's college basketball games........

    Home side won nine of last ten Yale-Cornell games; Bulldogs lost five in a row in Ithaca by 5-4-1-20-28 points, but they did beat Cornell in last meeting LY. Yale split its first four Ivy games, losing to Brown by nine, Princeton by 13. Big Red won, covered its first four Ivy games, winning by 21-26-24-36 points. Ivy League home favorites are 5-2 vs spread.

    Dartmouth swept Penn LY after losing previous 10 meetings; Big Green is 0-4 in Ivy League, scoring 48.3 ppg, but they did hang within four of Harvard in only home game. Penn upset Brown by a point in last game, for just their second win in 16 games, shocking collapse by once-proud program. Quakers are 2-8 vs spread as an underdog this year.

    Road team is 4-0 vs spread in Brown's Ivy League games; Bears lost last three games, by 8-17-1 points. Brown lost three of last four visits here, losing by 12-9-6 points. Home team is 9-3 in last twelve series games. Columbia is 1-3 in Ivy League, beating Dartmouth by 12 in only game that wasn't against Cornell/Harvard, two best teams in league.

    Harvard got crushed at Cornell, now has to win to stay within striking distance of Big Red until rematch; Crimson won other three Ivy games by 29-4-29 points, but they've lost seven of last nine games against the Tigers. Princeton won its first two Ivy games by 17-13 points, both on road; they've won seven of last eight games vs D-I opponents.

    Rider won last three games, by 1-3-8 points, evening their MAAC mark at 6-6; Broncs (+3.5) lost 68-66 at Loyola Jan 2, after trailing by 17 at half. Rider is 0-4 as MAAC home favorite, winning home games by 4-3 points. Loyola lost seven of last nine games, but they covered last four on road- they've lost road games by 5-20-5-5-6 points.

    Canisius (+2) just beat Niagara 73-70 last Friday; home team won four of last five series games. Griffins lost last six visits here by 6-12-7-18-6-24 points. Canisius is 4-1 vs spread on MAAC road, losing road games by 12-2-19 points. Niagara lost six of last eight games losing three of last four at home. MAAC home favorites are 11-27 against the spread.

    Iona (+4.5) lost 73-60 at home to Siena Dec 7, but Gaels have now won last eight games (7-1 vs spread); they're 4-1 on road, losing at Canisius by 12, 2-1 as MAAC underdog. Siena has 2nd-longest home win streak in country; they're 12-0 in MAAC, 2-4 as home favorite, winning home games by 22-11-18-12-15-6 pts. 1st home game in 15 days for Siena.

    Fairfield has 19 offensive rebounds, forced 18 turnovers while holding St Peter's to 36% from floor in 61-48 win in Jersey City Dec 6 (+1). Stags are 4-2 at home in MAAC, but 0-6 vs spread, winning home games by 9-5-3-2 points, losing to Seina/Rider. Peacocks won five of their last six games, are 5-1 as MAAC road dog, winning last three on road SU.

    Marist is 1-21, but only win was 72-66 over Manhattan at home Jan 2 (+4.5); Red Foxes lost last nine games (2-7 vs spread) are 4-1 as MAAC road dog, losing away games by 9-4-12-7-19 points. Jaspers lost seven in a row, nine of last ten games- they're 1-4 at home in MAAC, 1-3 vs spread as a MAAC favorite. Jasper MAAC wins are by 14-23 points.

    Montana won five of last six games since 64-56 loss at Weber State (+5) Jan 2; Griz shot 35.7% in that game, 1-13 from arc, but they won three of four at home in Big Sky, winning by 17-13-32 points. Weber is 8-1 in Big Sky, winning last five games; they're 3-1 on road, winning last away game in triple OT at Idaho State. Big Sky home favorites are 14-13.

    Montana State was 10-24 from arc, +8 in turnovers in 70-63 win Jan 3 at Idaho State (+2.5); Bobcats are 3-1 as Big Sky home favorite, winning Big Sky home games by 24-12-6-9 points, losing to EWU. Idaho State is 0-3 on Big Sky road, 1-1 as road dog, losing by 1-12-12 points on road. Bengals won three of last four series games.

    Portland State made 13-27 from arc, shot 54% for game in 94-66 win vs Sacramento State Jan 2 (-12) but Vikings lost five of seven games since, are 1-4 on Big Sky road, winning only at EWU. Underdog covered four of their last five games. Sacramento is 1-3 at home in Big Sky, losing at home by 15-1-5 points, with only win by a point over Idaho State.

  4. #19

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    JOE WIZ
    FREE PLAYS

    sixers
    pacers
    sac st

  5. #20

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    GAMBLERS DATA
    Calgary/Florida under 5.5

  6. #21

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    INSIDER SPORTS REPORT

    5* St. Peters +5.5
    3* Pacers -4
    3* Rider -5

  7. #22

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    JEFF BENTON
    Friday's Action

    20 Dime: HAWKS
    10 Dime: TIMBERWOLVES

    Hawks

    Time to fade the Bulls, and it’s easy to see why.

    After ending a tough seven-game Western Conference road trip with five straight upset victories, Chicago came home and lost to the Clippers 90-82 on Tuesday. Then the Bulls went to Philadelphia 24 hours later and suffered a gut-wrenching 106-103 overtime loss to the Sixers. Now it’s on to Atlanta, making this Chicago’s ninth roadie in its last 10 games going back to Jan. 18.

    If that’s not rough enough, Chicago will be without one of its most important players, as center and leading rebounder Joakim Noah will miss this game with a foot injury. That’s a real bad break, considering one of the Hawks’ best players is center Al Horford (who played with Noah at Florida). Horford averages 13.4 points and 9.5 rebounds per game, and he’s coming off a double-double in Wednesday’s game against the Clippers (16 points, 10 rebounds).

    Atlanta rallied to win that contest against L.A. 103-97, but failed to cover as a 9½-point favorite. That was the Hawks’ third straight non-cover – just the second time this season that the league’s #2 pointspread team has dropped three straight ATS decisions (it hasn’t lost four in a row against the number all season). Still, Atlanta is 20-5 SU and 17-8 ATS on its home court this season. One of those wins and covers came against Chicago on Dec. 9 – and what a destruction it was, as the Hawks rolled 118-83 as a 10½-point chalk. And think about this: Atlanta won that game by 35 points despite the fact Noah (11 rebounds) neutralized Horford (who finished with eight points and five rebounds in 24 minutes).

    True, Chicago got a little payback 10 days later at home, going overtime for a 101-98 win over Atlanta. But all that did was snap a five-game SU and four-game ATS losing skid to the Hawks. And it doesn’t change the fact that the Bulls have lost four in a row in Atlanta, including three losses by 35, 12 and 21 points!

    Then again, the Bulls have struggled against a lot of teams from Atlanta’s Southeast Division, failing to cash in 21 of their last 29 against the Hawks, Magic, Heat, Wizards and Bobcats. On the other hand, the Hawks are on ATS upticks of 19-8 as a home favorite, 9-3 against teams with a losing record, 7-2 after getting a day off and 10-4 after a non-cover.

    Bottom line: The Hawks are the vastly superior team, and they’ve been dominant at home all year. And on top of that, this situation clearly favors Atlanta, which is playing its second straight home game while the Bulls are playing their third game in a different city in the last four days. In fact, check out the Bulls’ itinerary over their last 13 games: Chicago (vs. Detroit) to Boston back to Chicago (vs. Washington) then to the West Coast for seven straight road games, then home to Chicago (vs. the Clippers) then to Philadelphia and now to Atlanta.

    In a word – BRUTAL! Throw in Noah’s absence, and this one’s a no-brainer, as I actually wouldn’t be at all surprised to see the Bulls (who have a home game against Dwyane Wade and the Heat tomorrow night!) throw in the towel by the midpoint of the second half.

    Timberwolves

    How in the hell can the Dallas Mavericks be laying double digits again at home? When will the oddsmakers learn their lesson?

    Seriously, guys, this play shouldn’t surprise you in the least, as I went against Dallas twice last week when it was a home favorite and cashed both times (including Saturday, when the Blazers won outright as an 8½-point pup). And I’m still kicking myself for not playing the Warriors on Wednesday night, when Golden State went to Dallas and lost 110-101 but covered as a 12-point underdog. With that result Wednesday, the Mavericks are now – are you ready for this? – 1-17 ATS in their last 18 home games.

    The one cover? A seven-point win over the Cavaliers as a 3½-point home UNDERDOG! In the other 17 games, Dallas was favored … and didn’t ONCE bring home the cash! Take away that game against the Cavaliers, and you have to go back to Nov. 18 for the last time the Mavs covered at home (and that was a 99-94 overtime win over San Antonio as a three-point pup). The last time they won a home game by more than seven points? Go back another eight days to Nov. 10!

    Now, I know what you’re thinking: “Yeah, but Minnesota is AWFUL.” I can’t really argue that point. But at least the TWolves are coming into Dallas with confidence, having posted by far their most dominating victories of the season – and in back-to-back fashion, crushing the Clippers by 14 points last Friday followed by Sunday’s 19-point rout of the Knicks. With those two wins and covers, Minnesota is now 8-5 ATS in its last 13 games.

    Finally, two points to make about this rivalry: The home team has owned it from a pointspread persective (21-7 ATS last 28 meetings), and the TWolves have walked away with the money six straight times they’ve played in Big D!

    Simply put, until the Mavericks – who have failed to cover in 20 of their last 28 overall, including the last five in a row – prove they can put away a team at home with a convincing win, I’ll keep betting against them.

    Paid and confirmed, gl guys

  8. #23

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    MR EAST
    ncaab friday play of the day

    #823 penn quakers @ #824 dartmouth big green 7pm est

    play on #823 penn quakers @ #824 dartmouth big green under 119 -110 for 3 units

  9. #24

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    RIGHT ANGLE SPORTS (RAS)

    Rotation: 830
    Rider (-5)
    Rating: 1.00

  10. #25

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    AT LOCK CLUB

    5 Phoenix-3
    3 Memphis -5

  11. #26

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    SPORTS ADVISORS

    Houston (26-22, 23-25 ATS) at Memphis (26-22, 27-20-1 ATS)

    The Rockets and Grizzlies, who are tied for third place in the competitive Southwest Division, look to snap out of their respective slumps when they meet up for just the second time this season, this time at the FedEx Forum.

    Houston has been idle since crushing the Warriors 119-97 on Tuesday, covering easily as a seven-point home favorite to snap an 0-5 ATS drought. The Rockets are still just 6-9 in their last 15 games, going 3-12 ATS. They’ve also lost five of their last six road games and failed to cash in seven of their last eight on the highway.

    Memphis is coming off Tuesday’s 105-89 loss at Cleveland as a 10-point road underdog, and it has now followed up a 15-4 run (14-4-1 ATS) by losing three of its last four SU and ATS. On the bright side, the one victory was a 95-93 triumph over the defending-champion Lakers on Monday, and the Grizzlies have now won 12 of their last 13 at the FedEx Forum, and they’re 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 home contests.

    These division rivals squared off way back on Nov. 11, and Houston cruised to a 104-79 victory as a nine-point home favorite. The Rockets have won six of the last eight meetings, but Memphis is 4-1 ATS in the last five (all as an underdog), including 2-0 SU and ATS at home. In fact, the host has taken six in a row and eight of the last nine in this series (6-3 ATS).

    Other than cashing in four of their last five games against divisional opponents, Houston is mired in a slew of negative ATS slumps, including 1-5 overall, 1-7 on the road, 1-4 as an underdog, 1-6 as a road pup, 1-5 after a SU win, 1-4 after a spread-cover, 0-4 against winning teams and 2-7 against the Western Conference. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are on ATS tears of 14-6-1 overall, 20-8-1 at home, 9-4 within the Southwest Division, 7-2-1 as a favorite of five to 10½ points (all at home), 4-1 when playing on two days’ rest and 4-1 after a non-cover.

    The under is on a 19-8 roll in this rivalry, with seven of the last 10 clashes in Memphis staying low. Additionally, the under is on streaks of 5-2 for the Grizzlies overall, 5-2 for the Grizzlies on Friday, 11-5 for the Rockets on the road, 11-5 for the Rockets against divisional rivals and 7-3 for the Rockets against winning teams.

    On the flip side, Houston is on “over” runs of 8-3 overall, 4-0 on Friday and 5-0 after a SU victory, while Memphis carries “over” trends of 11-4 against Western Conference teams, 4-1 against Southwest Division foes, 4-1 when coming off two days’ rest and 5-0 when favored by five to 10½ points.

    ATS ADVANTAGE: MEMPHIS


    Denver (33-16, 22-25-2 ATS) at L.A. Lakers (38-12, 22-26-2 ATS)

    Two Western Conference powers whose best players are hobbled by left ankle injuries meet up at the Staples Center, as the Nuggets look to beat the Lakers for the second time this season.

    Denver’s Carmelo Anthony has missed six straight games with a sprained ankle, and without him, his team has gone 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS. That includes Wednesday’s 109-97 loss to the Suns as a 5½-point home favorite. The Nuggets are still 13-4 in their last 17 games, including 4-2 on the road. However, George Karl’s club is in a 9-17-2 ATS funk overall, going 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 as a visitor.

    The Lakers returned home Wednesday from an eight-game Eastern Conference road trip – their longest of the season – and survived a scare against Charlotte, holding on for a 99-97 victory but falling way short as a 10½-point favorite. Five players scored in double figures for Los Angeles, but Kobe Bryant wasn’t one of them, as he was held to just five points on 2-for-12 shooting in the victory. Bryant played a team-high 37 minutes but missed a portion of the game after tweaking his ankle in the first half.

    The Lakers have won nine of their last 12 overall, going 6-4-2 ATS, and since a Christmas Day loss to the Cavaliers, they’re on an eight-game home winning streak (4-3-1 ATS).

    Both Anthony and Bryant are listed as questionable for this game.

    The Lakers beat Denver in six games in last year’s Western Conference finals, with the teams splitting the cash along the way. The Nuggets exacted a little revenge on Nov. 13 in the Mile High City, cruising 105-79 as a four-point home favorite, outscoring L.A. 47-23 in the second half. Still, Denver is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games in this rivalry and 3-12 ATS in its last 15 trips to Hollywood.

    Going back to Game 2 of last year’s playoff series, the visitor is on a 4-2 SU and ATS run when these teams meet, and the winner cashed in all six of those battles and has covered in nine of the last 10 clashes.

    In addition to their aforementioned pointspread slumps of 7-19-1 overall and 3-8-1 on the road, the Nuggets are also in ATS nosedives of 4-12-2 against the Western Conference, 1-6-1 against Pacific Division squads, 1-5 on Friday, 5-12 after one day of rest and 3-7 after a SU loss. However, they have cashed in five of six after a non-cover.

    Los Angeles is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six home games and 4-1 ATS in its last five after a non-cover, but it has failed to cash in four straight games against Northwest Division squads.

    Denver is on several “under” streaks, including 4-1 overall, 6-1 on the highway, 11-3 against winning teams, 6-2 on Friday, 5-1 after a SU loss and 4-0 after one day of rest. Similarly, the Lakers have stayed low in five of seven against the Western Conference, five of seven versus the Northwest Division and 10 of 13 against winning teams. Finally, the under has cashed in 11 of their last 14 clashes between these teams, including five of the last six head-to-head matchups at Staples Center.

    ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. LAKERS and UNDER

  12. #27

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    DWAYNE BRYANT
    Bet: #803 Detroit Pistons +3.5

    Detroit Pistons at Indiana Pacers
    Bet: Detroit Pistons +3.5

    Several reasons why I like Detroit in this spot tonight. First, we have the revenge angle. Indiana went into Detroit two weeks ago and upset the Pistons, 105-93. Secondly, we have Indiana coming off an emotional revenge win at home against Toronto, 130-115. That was the second game of a home-and-home series, and Toronto had won the first meeting by 15. So Indiana was plenty motivated coming back home, and they shot 52.4% in the revenge win. It's only natural to expect a letdown in this one, especially with another revenge game tomorrow night against the surging Bucks. A similar scenario played out less than two weeks ago. Indiana lost the 76ers by 10, beat them by 11 just two days later (and also shot over 50%), and then laid an egg at home against the Lakers (lost by 22). Now I realize the Pistons are not in the class of the Lakers, but we also don't need a 22-point win tonight.

    Bottom line: Detroit is finally healthy, and Indiana is in a solid letdown spot. The Pacers are also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Take the points with Detroit.
    Last edited by ugk; 02-05-2010 at 08:03 AM.

  13. #28

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    DAVE MALINSKY

    4* #835 SAINT PETER?S over FAIRFIELD

    No matter what the level of play is in college basketball defense
    still lacks sex appeal in the marketplace. That is how a run like the
    current 6-1 Saint Peter?s surge gets missed, and why we get to take a
    line this high in a game in which the teams are tied in the
    conference standings (8-4) there is a vast chasm between the quality
    of defense being played.

    The Peacocks have ratcheted their defense up to an extremely high
    level in this recent surge, and through 12 Metro Atlantic games are
    allowing just 36.7 from the field and 31.3 beyond the arc. Fairfield?
    How about 44.3 and 37.6 in those same categories, with an * attached.
    And these numbers are showing up in the pointspread categories that
    we would expect ? Saint Peter?s is the epitome of a ?tough out? as a
    road underdog, with a 5-1 ATS conference mark that includes four
    outright wins, while the Stags are rarely putting anyone away, going
    0-6 ATS as a home favorite this season, and only beating lowly Marist
    by more than six points in conference action.

    But now that * comes into play ? Ed Cooley is running low on numbers.
    When his Fairfield team won 75-68 at Saint Peter?s back on December
    6th he got 31 points and 20 rebounds in 66 floor minutes from Greg
    Nero, Yorel Hawkins and Lyndon Jordan. They are all gone now. That
    turned out to be Nero?s only conference appearance of the season, and
    the defense has broken down badly in the two games played without
    Jordan, allowing Loyola-Maryland and Rider to both shoot over 50
    percent. Now the loss of Hawkins, and his 14.6 points and 5.5
    rebounds per game, becomes the biggest blow of all. Jordan had
    started all 10 conference games before going down and Hawkins all 12,
    and now the pieces to the puzzle become awfully limited. They are
    hard-pressed to merely win this game, and with that savvy Peacock
    back-court of JR?s Wesley Jenkins and Nick Leon already at 149 career
    starts leading the way, a win by the road team should not be
    classified as an upset.

  14. #29

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    TIM TRUSHEL
    Chicago Bulls regular

  15. #30

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    JOE D'AMICO

    Bucks at Knicks
    Pick: Bucks +3

    The Buck's are the hottest team in the NBA against the number. They have covered 8 of their L9, including 4 of their L5 on the road. Milwaukee has already disposed of New York 102-87 back in November. While NY has an edge on the offensive side of the ball, the defensive edge goes to Milwaukee. New York is just horrible. They can't seem to string together solid performances. They have lost 7 of their L10 both SU and ATS. The 'dog is 6-2 ATs their L8 meetings and the road team is 5-2 ATS their L7. The Buck's are 5-2 ATS their L7 in NY. Miwaukee is also 8-0 ATS their L8 vs. the NBA Atlantic, 4-1 ATS their L5 as a 'dog, and 4-1 ATS their L5 games played on 2 days rest. New York is 2-5 ATS their L7, 1-5 ATS their L6 as a favorite of .5-4.5 points, and 0-4 ATS their L4 following a ATS win. Milwaukee covers.

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