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ICE PICKS
Today's best NHL bets
Carolina Hurricanes at Buffalo Sabres (-215, 5.5)
The Buffalo Sabres are hoping a home date against one of the NHL’s worst teams can get them back on track.
Buffalo has dropped back-to-back games and has lost eight of its last 12 heading into Friday night. The Sabres’ most recent defeat came at the hands of the red-hot Ottawa Senators, knocking off Buffalo 4-2 at home Wednesday. The Sens scored two goals in the final minute of the game to pull ahead, leaving the Sabres’ with their heads in their hands.
"To be 2-2 and lose at least a point is disappointing, especially against a team like that in our division," Sabres center Tim Connolly told the Buffalo News. "It's in our arena and there's a few minutes left, we've got to buckle down and at worst go to overtime and go from there."
Rebounding from that crushing loss will be tough – even with the Hurricanes coming to town. Carolina is winless on its current four-game road trip, losing to Edmonton and Calgary.
The Sabres are aiming for a repeat performance of their 5-1 victory over Carolina back in late November, when they played the role of spoiler and scored five unanswered goals in the third period.
Pick: Buffalo
Phoenix Coyotes at Chicago Blackhawks (-185, 5.5)
The Blackhawks are stumbling and the finger pointing it starting to blow around in the Windy City.
Most of the blame for the team’s current slide is goaltender Cristobal Huet, who has a 2-3 record in his last five starts including dropping back-to-back starts versus the Blues and Hurricanes.
"We're not blaming the goaltending at all," coach Joel Quenneville told the Chicago Tribune. "We know the importance of it and we know it's a key position for us and we're going to rely on it as we go along here. The last two games, nullifying one of those goals would have led to wins in both of them."
Huet allowed three goals on just 19 shots against St. Louis Wednesday and watched four pucks whizz by on 24 shots in a loss to Carolina last weekend. Despite those poor showings and the return of fellow goaltender Antti Niemi, Chicago is sticking with Huet Friday night.
Wednesday’s 3-2 loss snapped a streak of four straight over finishes for Huet. He is posting a 2.33 GAA and boasts an over/under record of 7-4 in 2010.
Pick: Over
PICK 'N' ROLL
Today's best NBA bets
Chicago Bulls at Atlanta Hawks (-7, 197)
Just as everyone began to hop on the Bulls bandwagon after rattling off five straight ATS road wins, it might be time to hop off.
Chicago has now lost two in a row, straight up and against the spread, and will be without the team’s “Charlie Hustle” contributor until the All-Star break.
Reports have been confirmed that Joakim Noah, the Bulls leader in field goal percentage, rebounding and blocked shots, will be shut down until after the All-Star break because of plantar fasciitis.
"It's frustrating," said Noah, who sat during the team’s Thursday practice. "I can't move the way I want to."
Losing your team’s best blue-collar player is tough to overcome, especially when you have Brad Miller picking up the slack.
The Hawks rarely lose at home (20-5) and have been extremely profitable at Philips Arena (17-8 ATS) this season.
Pick: Hawks
Milwaukee Bucks at New York Knicks (-3, 200.5)
It was a little over a month ago when “Nasty” Nate Robinson was riding the Knicks bench game after game, a casualty inside Mike D’Antoni’s doghouse. But on Friday, Robinson will be announced as the team’s starting point guard.
Robinson supplanted Chris Duhon as the starter after igniting New York’s offense in a second-half comeback versus the Wizards on Wednesday.
Duhon was benched the entire second half after going 1-of-6 from the floor with two turnovers. Robinson totaled 23 points, eight assists and six rebounds in the game and the Knicks erased a 4-point halftime deficit to win by 22.
"In the first half we were dead in the water and I didn't feel like there was any life," D'Antoni said. “I just thought we needed Nate to show some energy and he did, and the rest of the guys responded really well.
"When a guy deserves to play he deserves to play. There is a moment in the season, you got to seize it and I thought he seized it.”
Expect inspired play from Robinson at home Friday night. This spread opened at 2.5 and the sharps quickly moved it to 3 so grab the field goal margin while you can.
Pick: Knicks
GAME OF THE DAY
NUGGETS AT LAKERS
Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers
Feeling ‘Melo
Denver has played their last six games without the NBA’s leading scorer Carmelo Anthony, who is again doubtful against the Lakers with an ankle injury. They have lost two straight and are 3-3 without him.
Without Anthony, the Nuggets are a very average offense. They are averaging just 99.5 points per game sans Melo and have shot 46 percent or below in five of those six games compared to 106.8 ppg and 47 percent with him in the lineup.
Denver lost its last game on Wednesday night against the Suns, managing just 97 points against one of the worst defenses in the NBA. They’ll need more of a contribution from fellow All-Star Chauncey Billups, who had just 11 points and shot 5-for-14 against the Suns which followed up a shooting 6-for-25 night in Monday's win against the Kings.
"Sometimes he takes a little too much responsibility for Melo not being in the lineup — and because of that, he's probably missed a few shots that maybe we should have been a little patient with," head coach George Karl said.
Without Anthony, the Nuggets struggled at creating a "hot player" on offense, as Karl likes to say. Nene led Denver with 15 points against Phoenix — the lowest top-scoring total for the team this season.
With their recent cold streak, the Nuggets have fallen 4.5 games behind the Lakers in the Western Conference playoff standings. They are 4-2 in their last six road games, with quality wins at Utah, Golden State, San Antonio and Houston.
Denver could struggle against the Lakers stout defense. L.A. is allowing just 93.6 points per game in their last five games.
Leg-less Lakers
Shortly after Kobe Bryant became the Lakers all-time leading scorer, head coach Phil Jackson became the winningest head coach in franchise history with their win over the Bobcats on Wednesday night. It was their first game home after an eight-game road trip out east and they are feeling the aftereffects.
Stars Pau Gasol and Kobe Bryant were just 8-of-25 from the field and managed just 19 points. "We got out of sync a little bit, and the legs were extremely heavy," said Gasol.
Bryant is dealing with a sprained ankle that has hampered him for the past few games. He did not practice Thursday and his status for Friday is uncertain.
That setback has left the team scrambling to figure out how to win with Bryant and Gasol not at their most effective. Bench contributors Shannon Brown (10 points) and Lamar Odom (19 points) helped out immensely Wednesday.
The bench will need to provide more contribution with four tough games remaining before the All-Star break, including games against Portland, San Antonio and Utah.
Prior engagement
These two met in Denver in mid-November in their only previous meeting this season. Denver dominated that game, leading by 29 points at one point, and ended up handing L.A. their largest loss of the season (26 points).
The Lakers shot a season low 35 percent from the field and had 18 turnovers. Denver had a +12 edge in points in the paint and a +10 advantage in fast-break points.
The Lakers have defeated the Nuggets at home in four of the last five meetings, winning by a margin of 9.8 points per game.
Trends
Denver is just 4-12-2 ATS in their last 18 vs. the Western Conference and more specifically, 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games versus the Pacific Division.
The Nuggets haven’t performed well on the road lately, as they are just 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 road games whereas the Lakers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Los Angeles is 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings with Denver and 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Los Angeles.
These two teams have played to the under in 11 of the last 14 meetings.
JOHN RYAN
5* graded play on Yale as they take on Cornell in Ivy League action set to start at 7:00 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Yale will easily cover the generous 22 point spread. Just last week we nailed a winner with Cornell against Dartmouth laying a whopping 26 points and Cornell won easily 71-37. This, however, is not Dartmouth and Yale will be a far tougher opponent. We are not suggesting in any way that there could be a huge upset. We do believe that Cornell will get caught a bit complacent and Yale will be able to hang around the 10 point deficit throughout this game. Yale has won 4 of their last 6 SU. They are coming off a poor game where they shot just 35% and allowed 51% shooting in a loss to Princeton 58-45. Now, the tendency for all D-1 teams is that they play far above their season averages after posting a real poor game. After all, all of the teams have at least a few players who played at a high level in High School and maybe even leading their teams to State titles. Point is that these athletes have a tons of pride and will focus very hard after poor outings. That is how they got to this level in the first place, especially Ivy League players, who also worked very hard in the classroom. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 29-7 ATS for 81% winners since 2004. Play against home favorites of 10 or more points after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread and playing with 5 or 6 days rest. Take Yale.
5* YALE BULLDOGS
Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
396 - 277 run 59 %
Free Play 15-5 run: FRI LAKERS -8½
DCI
Straight Up: 2669-844 (.760)
ATS: 1082-1088 (.499)
ATS Vary Units: 3134-3241 (.492)
Over/Under: 918-920 (.499)
Over/Under Vary Units: 1388-1375 (.502)
Atlantic Sun Conference
Jacksonville vs. BELMONT: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
LIPSCOMB 75, North Florida 61
Big Sky Conference
MONTANA 71, Weber State 69
MONTANA STATE 73, Idaho State 65
Portland State 78, SACRAMENTO STATE 76
Ivy League
COLUMBIA 66, Brown 59
CORNELL 80, Yale 53
DARTMOUTH 62, Penn 59
HARVARD 62, Princeton 53
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference
FAIRFIELD 64, Saint Peter's 62
MANHATTAN 71, Marist 54
NIAGARA 72, Canisius 67
RIDER 72, Loyola (Md.) 64
SIENA 70, Iona 62
Non-Conference
South Dakota 83, SIU EDWARDSVILLE 70
DCI
Straight Up: 485-207 (.701)
ATS: 390-328 (.543)
ATS Vary Units: 958-788 (.549)
Over/Under: 355-363 (.494)
Over/Under Vary Units: 501-524 (.489)
INDIANA 100, Detroit 96
ORLANDO 105, Washington 90
BOSTON 104, New Jersey 85
Milwaukee vs. NEW YORK: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
ATLANTA 101, Chicago 95
MEMPHIS 103, Houston 98
NEW ORLEANS 100, Philadelphia 94
DALLAS 109, Minnesota 96
Phoenix 115, SACRAMENTO 111
L.A. LAKERS 108, Denver 101
DCI
Season: 289-192 (.601)
NEW JERSEY 3, Toronto 2
WASHINGTON 4, Atlanta 2
BUFFALO 3, Carolina 2
FLORIDA 2, Calgary 1
Phoenix vs. CHICAGO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
ATSKINGS
Rex Rodgers ( this guy has been phenomenal)
3* New Jersey Devils -1.5 +150
ATSKINGS
Tony Taylor (4-1 L3 days)
3* Over Knicks/Bucks 200.5
3* Over Mavs/Twolves 206
BEN BURNS
NBA picks
10* Top Central Div. Total - Over 199 Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons
9* Personal Favorite - Atlanta Hawks -7
No * yet - Sacramento kings +3.5
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