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ICE PICKS
Today's best NHL bets
Carolina Hurricanes at Calgary Flames (-175, 5.5)
The Flames will put all six of their newly-acquired players on the ice Wednesday to see if they can pull the team out of a slump after losing 10 of its last 11 games.
The four players attained from Toronto in the Dion Phaneuf trade made their debut Sunday but couldn’t get the Flames a victory, losing to New Jersey 3-0.
Forwards Ales Kotalik and Christopher Higgins will be thrust into action Wednesday to try and find an offensive spark. Calgary is averaging 1.4 goals per game during its last 10 losses.
"You try and build chemistry, and get used to tendencies of the guys you're playing with. It doesn't just happen," said Matt Stajan after Sunday's game. "You start to get a feel, but it wasn't there tonight."
Don’t expect all these players to mesh right away and the task will be even greater against Carolina goalie Cam Ward who is 4-1 with a 1.80 goals-against average in the team’s last five games.
Pick: Hurricanes
Ottawa Senators at Buffalo Sabres (-140, 5.5)
During the Senators’ nine-game winning streak, goalie Brian Elliott has been absolutely out of his mind.
Elliott started in seven of those nine Ottawa wins and only gave up two goals twice during that span. He boasted a goals-against average of 1.14 and dazzling .960 save rate in those seven wins.
Prior to the 5-4 loss the Sabres endured Monday against Pittsburgh that saw Sid the Kid earn yet another hat trick, Buffalo had been playing some decent defense.
The Sabres had played three straight unders, allowing a total of four goals in those games.
Ottawa has won seven straight in this series and that trend will probably continue, but the safer play will be the expected shortage of goals.
Pick: Under
PICK 'N' ROLL
Today's best NBA bets
Chicago Bulls at Philadelphia 76ers (-1, 194)
The Bulls are cooling the hot seat under coach Vinny Del Negro one win at a time and it all begins with point guard Derrick Rose.
Rose started the season playing hurt, but his production has increased month by month. In November, Rose averaged 16.2 points and 5.3 assists per game. Those numbers jumped a few points in December (20.4 ppg, 6.1 apg) and escalated to 23.1 points and 6.4 assists per outing in January.
"It all starts with Derrick Rose," Joakim Noah said. "He's just playing huge for us, making the right decisions, staying aggressive offensively. When your point guard is playing like that, it usually leads to good things."
The first three months of the season on the road were hard on Chicago, going 3-11 overall. But during their recent seven-game road trip, the baby Bulls went 5-2 straight up and against the spread.
Chicago is the hottest team in the NBA after five consecutive SU and ATS wins (all underdogs) and even in a back-to-back situation Wednesday, the Bulls have the confidence to handle a semi-short road trip to Philly.
Pick: Bulls
San Antonio Spurs at Sacramento Kings (N/A)
The Spurs open an eight-game road trip in Sac-Town Wednesday and a few weeks away from the Riverwalk might be exactly what Greg Popovich’s team needs.
"Everyone's excited to get on the road and get a little bit of a rhythm going," Richard Jefferson said after the team dropped four of its last six games, all at home.
All-star Tony Parker has missed the last two contests and will be out for this one as well, but reserve George Hill has stepped up in Parker’s absence. In two starts, Hill has averaged 17.5 points per game.
The Spurs have won seven straight in this series (4-2-1 ATS) and seven of their last eight games in Sacramento.
The Kings played well without Rookie of the Year frontrunner Tyreke Evans on Tuesday, but blew a 17-point third-quarter lead against the Nuggets and lost in overtime.
Evans is expected to return for this game but since Kevin Martin returned from injury and rejoined Evans on the floor (Jan. 15), the Kings are 1-8 overall and 2-7 ATS.
Pick: Spurs
GAMES OF THE DAY
Wednesday Wagers
**North Carolina State at Virginia**
Las Vegas Sports Consultants opened Virginia (13-6 straight up, 8-6 against the spread) as a 5 ½-point favorite.
Tony Bennett is doing a sensational job in his first season since coming to Charlottesville from Washington State. Bennett has the Cavaliers in the hunt for their first NCAA Tournament berth since 2005. They were a part of Joe Lunardi’s “next four out” in this week’s edition of Bracketology on ESPN.com. (For clarification, Lunardi’s bracket isn’t anything set in stone by any means, but it’s a nice barometer to measure teams at in early February. Also, the “next four out” implies being in the range of the fifth-to-eighth squads left out of the field.)
Virginia captured a 75-60 win Sunday night at North Carolina as a live eight-point road underdog. The Cavs hooked up money-line backers with a generous plus-300 return (paid $300 on $100 wagers). Sylven Landesberg, a sophomore slasher, scored a game-high 29 points against the Tar Heels.
UVA is 10-2 SU and 4-3 ATS at home this year.
North Carolina St. (14-8 SU, 10-8-1 ATS) stepped out of ACC play Saturday to mash North Carolina Central 77-42 in a non-lined affair. Prior to that victory, the Wolfpack lost at home 77-63 to North Carolina as a one-point home underdog.
Sidney Lowe’s team is led by junior forward Tracy Smith, who leads the Wolfpack in scoring (17.5 points per game), rebounding (8.4 RPG) and FG-percentage (56.5%).
N.C. St. owns a 2-1 spread record in its three ACC road assignments.
These ACC adversaries already met earlier this year in Raleigh, with UVA beating the Wolfpack 70-62 on Jan. 9. The Cavs covered the number as 2 ½-point road underdogs, while the 132 combined points slipped ‘over’ the 129-point total. Landesberg scored a game-high 23 points in the first meeting.
The ‘over’ is 8-4-1 overall for UVA, 5-0-1 in its home outings.
The ‘over’ is 9-6 overall for N.C. St.
Tip-off is slated for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPNU.
**Texas A&M at Missouri**
LVSC opened Missouri (16-5 SU, 9-6 ATS) as an eight-point favorite.
Mike Anderson’s team is unbeaten in 14 home games with a 7-2 spread record. The Tigers bounced back from last week’s loss at Kansas by spanking Oklahoma St. 95-80 Saturday as 7 ½-point home ‘chalk.’ Kim English led five double-figure scorers with 20 points.
Texas A&M (15-6 SU, 9-8 ATS) has lost all three of its Big 12 road games, going 1-2 ATS. The Aggies got stroked at Kansas St. (88-65) and lost 76-69 at Oklahoma St., but they took Texas to overtime in Austin and covered the number in a 72-67 loss as 14 ½-point puppies.
Mark Turgeon’s squad beat up on Texas Tech by an 85-70 count Saturday as a nine-point home favorite. Donald Sloan was the catalyst with a game-high 28 points. The 155 combined points sailed ‘over’ the 145-point tally.
Sloan is averaging a team-high 18.7 points per game for the Aggies, who have been playing without senior guard Derrick Roland since he broke his leg in a 73-64 loss at Washington back on Dec. 22. Roland was the team’s best perimeter defender and was averaging 10.5 PPG.
English is scoring at a 14.8 PPG clip to pace the Tigers, who lost three starters from last year’s team that went to the Sweet 16 before losing to UConn.
Texas A&M has won five in a row over Missouri and the Aggies have taken the cash in eight consecutive head-to-head meetings. When these teams met in Columbia two years ago, Texas A&M captured a 77-69 win as a 1 ½-point road favorite.
The ‘over’ is 7-6 overall for the Tigers, 5-2 in their home games.
The ‘under’ is 10-6 overall for the Aggies, but they have watched the ‘over’ go 3-2 in their five true road assignments.
ESPNU will provide television coverage at 9:00 p.m. Eastern.
**Kansas at Colorado**
LVSC opened top-ranked Kansas (20-1 SU, 9-8-1 ATS) as a 13 1/2–point favorite.
Colorado (11-10 SU, 8-8-1 ATS) has been outstanding at home this season, winning 10 of 11 games while compiling a 4-2-1 ATS mark. The Buffaloes have been home underdogs twice, going 1-1 SU and 1-0-1 ATS. They beat Baylor 78-71 as three-point ‘dogs and lost 87-81 to Kansas St. as six-point puppies.
Since suffering its lone loss at Tennessee, Bill Self’s team has won six in a row while posting a 3-2-1 spread record. KU is coming off an emotional road win Saturday in Manhattan. The Jayhawks survived overtime against Kansas St., collecting an 81-79 triumph. However, the Wildcats covered the spread as 3 ½-point home underdogs.
Cole Aldrich led the way for KU against its in-state rivals, producing 18 points, 11 rebounds and three blocked shots. Marcus Morris also had a double-double with 13 points and 10 boards, while Sherron Collins finished with 16 points and four assists.
Jeff Bzdelik’s squad snapped a three-game losing streak last week by beating Nebraska 72-60 Wednesday as a three-point home favorite. Freshman guard Alec Burks, the prep Player of the Year from out of Missouri last season, scored a game-high 21 points for the Buffs against the Cornhuskers.
CU couldn’t follow up on the win over Nebraska, dropping a 64-63 decision Saturday at Iowa St. However, the Buffs did take the cash for the third straight game as 6 ½-point road underdogs.
Burks, who averages 16.3 points and 4.7 rebounds per contest, left the game against the Cyclones in the opening minutes and did not return. The knee injury has Burks “questionable” for KU. Bzdelik told BuffStampede.com on Monday, “Alec is doing great; [it is] just a very mild sprain. He'll do some light work at practice [Monday].”
The ‘under’ has posted a 5-2 record in Colorado’s home games but is just 8-8 overall. KU has watched the ‘under’ cash at a 10-7 clip overall this season.
The ‘under’ is 8-0 in the last eight games played in Boulder between these Big 12 rivals.
ESPN2 will have the telecast at 9:00 p.m. Eastern.
If anyone has North Coasts prop plays for the super bowl it would be greatly appreciated. They give out a few every couple days started last week.
I WILL WORK ON GETTING THOSE FOR YOU--I WILL ASK AROUND AND SEE IF ANYONE HAS GOTTEN ANY OF THEM IN THE LAST WEEK.
UGK
Last edited by ugk; 02-02-2010 at 10:01 PM.
axiumsports
February 3rd 2009
*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*
Current Bankroll=$1037.72
Pick #3-NCAAB-Xavier/Massachusetts UNDER 151 -108
Pick #4-NCAAB-Wyoming +7.5 OVER UNLV -104
Gamblers Data (Fletcher)
UTEP-7.5 5*
Mighty Quinn
Mighty missed with St. John's (-3-1/2) Tuesday night.
Today it's Memphis. The deficit is 455 sirignanos.
DCI
Straight Up: 2593-818 (.760)
ATS: 1062-1068 (.499)
ATS Vary Units: 3092-3201 (.491)
Over/Under: 898-899 (.500)
Over/Under Vary Units: 1354-1339 (.503)
America East Conference
BINGHAMTON 69, Albany 56
Stony Brook 67, HARTFORD 61
VERMONT 65, Maine 58
Atlantic 10 Conference
CHARLOTTE 77, George Washington 65
Richmond 71, SAINT JOSEPH'S 65
SAINT LOUIS 65, St. Bonaventure 60
TEMPLE 73, Duquesne 57
Xavier 83, MASSACHUSETTS 69
Atlantic Coast Conference
VIRGINIA 73, NC State 66
Big 12 Conference
BAYLOR 83, Iowa State 67
Kansas 85, COLORADO 68
MISSOURI 79, Texas A&M 71
Big East Conference
GEORGETOWN 76, South Florida 62
MARQUETTE 77, DePaul 55
WEST VIRGINIA 70, Pittsburgh 61
Big Ten Conference
Illinois 64, IOWA 61
OHIO STATE 73, Penn State 53
Colonial Athletic Association
George Mason 63, GEORGIA STATE 59
JAMES MADISON 69, Hofstra 67
OLD DOMINION 66, William & Mary 52
Vcu 79, UNC WILMINGTON 65
Conference USA
MEMPHIS 68, Uab 64
RICE 64, Tulane 63
TULSA 75, Marshall 66
UTEP 84, Houston 76
Mid-American Conference
AKRON 76, Northern Illinois 59
Missouri Valley Conference
CREIGHTON 75, Evansville 59
Illinois State 66, INDIANA STATE 65
NORTHERN IOWA 61, Wichita State 52
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 68, Missouri State 66
Mountain West Conference
Unlv 79, WYOMING 72
UTAH 73, Colorado State 63
Southeastern Conference
GEORGIA 76, Arkansas 73
VANDERBILT 77, Mississippi State 68
Southern Conference
WOFFORD 75, Elon 55
Southland Conference
LAMAR 73, Central Arkansas 65
NORTHWESTERN STATE 76, McNeese State 75
SAM HOUSTON STATE 82, UT San Antonio 65
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA 82, Texas State 74
STEPHEN F. AUSTIN 71, Nicholls State 56
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 76, UT ARLINGTON 74
Western Athletic Conference
UTAH STATE 78, Idaho 59
Non-Conference
UC Irvine vs. CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
DCI
Straight Up: 475-205 (.699)
ATS: 386-321 (.546)
ATS Vary Units: 946-775 (.550)
Over/Under: 351-356 (.496)
Over/Under Vary Units: 496-518 (.489)
ATLANTA 102, L.A. Clippers 91
Chicago vs. PHILADELPHIA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
TORONTO 109, New Jersey 93
NEW YORK 106, Washington 100
BOSTON 97, Miami 90
NEW ORLEANS 98, Oklahoma City 96
DALLAS 115, Golden State 104
DENVER 116, Phoenix 109
San Antonio 103, SACRAMENTO 99
L.A. LAKERS 101, Charlotte 91
UTAH 101, Portland 95
Last edited by ugk; 02-03-2010 at 06:42 AM.
DCI
Season: 283-189 (.600)
BUFFALO 3, Ottawa 2
CHICAGO 3, St. Louis 2
CALGARY 3, Carolina 2
Philadelphia 3, EDMONTON 2
ANAHEIM 3, Detroit 2
SPORTS ADVISORS
WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 3
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
(22) Pittsburgh (16-5, 10-7-2 ATS) at (6) West Virginia (17-3, 7-12 ATS)
West Virginia goes after its sixth straight victory when it takes on slumping Panthers in a Big East contest at the WVU Coliseum.
After ripping off eight consecutive victories, Pittsburgh has gone 1-3 SU (2-2 ATS) in its last four starts, all in the Big East, including Sunday’s 70-61 road loss to South Florida as a 2½-point chalk. Over their last five games (including two roadies), the Panthers are getting outscored by a point per game (67.6-66.6) and shooting just 27 percent from three-point range.
West Virginia rallied past Louisville 77-74 Saturday, but fell short as a 6½-point home favorite for its fourth ATS setback in the last five games. For the year, the Mountaineers have averaged 73.7 ppg, while giving up 62.1, and at home, they’ve outscored foes by an average of 15 points (78.3-58.3). However, in their last five outings – including three at home – the margin has tightened to just over six ppg (69.8-63.4).
These teams met three times last season, with Pitt winning and cashing in both regular-season clashes, including a 79-67 road win catching one point. However, in the Big East tournament, West Virginia rolled 74-60 as a 4½-point underdog. Still, the Panthers are on ATS rolls of 13-6-1 overall in this rivalry and 8-3 at WVU Coliseum. The SU winner is 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings, and the chalk is 11-5-1 ATS in the last 16 contests.
The Mountaineers are on ATS slides of 4-9 overall, 2-5 at home, 1-4 in the Big East and 1-6 following a SU win. On the flip side, the Panthers are on pointspread tears of 8-2-1 overall, 4-1 on the highway, 6-2-1 in the Big East, 20-8-2 after a SU loss, 3-0-1 after a non-cover and 9-2-2 against winning teams.
The under for Pitt is on a 7-3 run against winning teams, and the under for West Virginia is on streaks of 5-2 overall, 5-1 in Wednesday starts, 4-1 in the Big East and 7-3 against winning teams. The total has also stayed low in seven of the last 10 overall meetings in this rivalry. However, the over is 7-3 in the last 10 contests between these two in West Virginia.
ATS ADVANTAGE: PITTSBURGH
Mississippi State (16-5, 9-7 ATS) at (18) Vanderbilt (16-4, 11-7 ATS)
The Commodores, who have played four of their last five on the highway, return home to Memorial Gym for an SEC battle with Mississippi State.
The Bulldogs went on a 12-1 SU tear (8-3 ATS in lined action) from late November through mid-January to get its season rolling. But since then, they’ve dropped two of three SU and ATS, with both losses coming on the highway in the SEC (at Alabama and Arkansas). On Saturday, Mississippi State bounced back with a 67-51 home win over LSU, covering as a hefty 12-point chalk. For the season, the team puts up 73.4 ppg while allowing 61.0, holding foes to just 36.5 percent from the floor, a figure that ranks third in the nation.
Vanderbilt had its 10-game winning streak (7-2 ATS) snapped Saturday at then-No. 1 Kentucky, falling 85-72 as an 8½-point underdog. The loss followed an 85-76 road upset of No. 14 Tennessee as a 6½-point pup. The Commodores are averaging 79.1 ppg on a stout 49.6 percent shooting from the floor (eighth in the nation), while allowing 67.8 ppg, and on their home floor this season, they’ve outscored opponents by an average of more than 20 ppg (85.2-64.8).
Mississippi State has cashed in the last three meetings in this rivalry (2-1 SU), including a 73-66 home win last year as a four-point favorite, and the Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 clashes. The host has covered in three of the last four contests.
The Commodores are on a 5-12-1 ATS nosedive following a SU loss, but they are otherwise on ATS upswings of 7-2 overall, 4-1 at home, 7-2 within the SEC, 6-0 on Wednesday and 7-2 against winning teams. The Bulldogs are on ATS runs of 9-4 on the highway 4-0 on Wednesday, 10-3 after a SU win and 11-5 against winning teams, but they also shoulder negative pointspread streaks of 2-5 overall, 1-4 in the SEC and 0-4 coming off a SU win.
Vandy is on “over” rolls of 5-1 overall, 4-0 in the SEC, 5-0 after a non-cover and 7-1 after a SU loss, while Mississippi State is on a 5-2 “over” stretch against winning teams and has seen eight of its last nine Wednesday games top the posted total. In addition, the total has gone high in five of the last seven meetings in this rivalry. However, the under is 8-2-1 in the Bulldogs’ last 11 roadies.
ATS ADVANTAGE: VANDERBILT and OVER
Texas A&M (15-6, 9-8 ATS) at Missouri (16-5, 9-6 ATS)
The streaking Tigers put their 33-game home winning streak on the line when they play host to the Aggies in a Big 12 matchup at Mizzou Arena.
Texas A&M rolled Texas Tech 85-70 giving nine points at home Saturday to stem a 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS hiccup, all within the Big 12. For the year, the Aggies have outscored opponents by an average of about eight ppg (72.6-64.8). But on the highway, where they’ve lost five in a row (including four true roadies), they’re averaging 69.0 ppg while allowing 75.4. Also, A&M is shooting just 25 percent from long distance in its last five outings, while allowing 42.1 percent from beyond the arc.
Missouri bounced back from an 84-65 beatdown at Kansas as a 12-point pup Jan. 25 to rip Oklahoma State 95-80 Saturday, easily cashing as a 7½-point home favorite. The Tigers sport one of the top offenses in the nation, averaging 81.5 ppg (13th) while giving up just 64.9 ppg, and they’ve been even more prolific on their home floor, piling up 87.9 ppg and allowing 61 en route to a 14-0 SU mark (7-2 ATS in lined action). Going back to March 2008, the Tigers have won 33 in a row at Mizzou Arena, going 12-0 SU and 9-3 ATS when hosting Big 12 rivals
Texas A&M is on a 5-0 SU and 8-0 ATS tear in this rivalry, with Missouri last covering in a 74-50 rout in 2002 as an 18½-point home chalk. Last March, A&M won 96-86 getting two points at home, and it has prevailed in two of its last three trips to Missouri (3-0 ATS), including a 77-69 win as a 1½-point road favorite two seasons ago. The chalk is also 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
The Tigers are on a bundle of positive ATS streaks, including 5-2 overall, 22-6 at home, 7-2 in the Big 12, 5-1 on Wednesday, 11-5 after a SU win and 15-3 at home versus teams with a losing road record. The Aggies, meanwhile, are on a 35-17 ATS run on the road against teams with a winning home mark, but they are also in ATS ruts of 1-7 after a SU win and 1-4 on the highway.
The under is 7-2 in Mizzou’s last nine Big 12 outings and 5-1 in A&M’s last six following a pointspread victory. Other than that, though, the Tigers are on “over” surges of 5-2 at home, 9-2 on Wednesday and 4-1 against winning teams, and the over has hit in the Aggies’ last seven Wednesday outings. Finally, the total has gone high in four of the past five meetings in this rivalry.
ATS ADVANTAGE: MISSOURI and OVER
NBA
Oklahoma City (27-21, 29-19 ATS) at New Orleans (26-22, 23-25 ATS)
The Thunder begin a three-game road trip when they make the short trek to New Orleans Arena looking to end a 10-game series losing streak to the Hornets.
Oklahoma City is coming off Tuesday’s 106-99 win over Atlanta as a 1½-point home favorite. The Thunder have followed up a three-game losing skid with three straight wins, and they’ve won six of their last 10 road games, with the four losses coming by a total of 10 points. In fact, the Thunder’s last five road outings were decided by a total of nine points.
New Orleans took the court Monday for the first time since it was announced that All-Star point guard Chris Paul will be sidelined for up to two months with a knee injury, and the Hornets fell 109-100 to the Suns as a one-point home favorite. Since a six-game winning streak from Dec. 30-Jan. 10, New Orleans has been very inconsistent, going 7-6 SU and 6-7 ATS, and it has dropped three of its last four home games (0-4 ATS).
The Hornets went to Oklahoma City on Jan. 6 and scored a 97-92 upset win as a 4½-point road underdog, its 10th consecutive win over the Thunder (6-4 ATS). During this 10-game series stretch, New Orleans is 6-0 SU (3-3 ATS) in the Big Easy, with the last three being double-digit routs by margins of 18, 12 and 31 points. Most recently, the Hornets have covered in five of the last seven meetings, and the favorite is 13-6 ATS in the last 19.
The underdog has cashed in 10 of the Hornets’ last 11 games (7-4 SU), and the pup 12-5 ATS in Oklahoma City’s last 17 contests.
Oklahoma City has failed to cover in four straight Wednesday outings, but it is otherwise on ATS streaks of 9-2 on the road (5-1 last six), 7-0 against winning teams and 4-0 when playing on back-to-back nights. New Orleans has failed to cover in four straight home games and six of eight when going on one day of rest, but the Hornets are on positive pointspread upticks of 5-1 against the Northwest Division, 4-1 on Wednesday and 14-4 versus opponents with a winning record.
The under is on runs of 6-3 for the Thunder overall, 11-5 for the Thunder against the Western Conference, 6-2 for the Thunder versus the Southwest Division, 37-18 for New Orleans at home, 10-2 for New Orleans against the Northwest Division and 6-1 for New Orleans versus winning teams. Conversely, Oklahoma City has topped the total in five straight games against winning teams and 18 of 26 when playing on back-to-back nights, and the Hornets have gone over the number in five of six overall.
Finally, the over is on a 5-2 roll in this rivalry.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NEW ORLEANS and OVER
Portland (29-21, 27-22-1 ATS) at Utah (29-18, 28-17-2 ATS)
The streaking Jazz go after their seventh straight victory when they welcome the Trail Blazers to EnergySolutions Arena for a Northwest Division clash.
Portland has rebounded from a three-game losing skid with consecutive victories over the Mavericks (114-112 in overtime as an 8½-point underdog) and Bobcats (98-79 as a two-point home chalk). The Blazers continue to play without All-Star point guard Brandon Roy (hamstring injury), who has missed the last seven games in a row and nine of the last 10, and he will be sidelined again tonight.
Portland has alternated SU wins and losses in its last six road games, but it has cashed in its last five on the highway and 10 of the last 14 as a visitor.
Utah ran its winning streak to six in a row with Monday’s 104-92 victory over the Mavericks, cashing as a four-point favorite as it outscored Dallas 27-16 in the fourth quarter. The Jazz have also won 11 of their last 13 games, going 10-1-2 ATS. During this stretch, they’re 8-0 at home (6-1-1 ATS). Utah has been getting the job done on both ends of the floor, topping 100 points in eight straight games and 10 of the last 11 (109.6 ppg average) while holding 12 of its last 14 opponents to 98 points or less (96 ppg average).
Utah has won both meetings with the Blazers this season, winning 108-92 as a five-point home favorite back on Nov. 28 then going to Portland a week ago tonight and earning a 106-95 decision as a 2½-point underdog. Prior to last week’s result, the home team had won eight in a row SU and ATS in this rivalry, with the Jazz winning and covering the last four meetings in Salt Lake City. Also, the favorite has cashed in each of the last eight series clashes, and the SU winner has covered the spread in each of the last 13 meetings.
In addition to cashing in five straight road games, the Blazers are on ATS runs of 6-2 overall, 9-3 in divisional games, 5-2 when playing after one day of rest, 10-3 against opponents with a winning record and 4-1 after a spread-cover. Utah’s 10-1-2 overall and 6-1-1 home ATS streaks are bolstered by additional pointspread upticks of 7-1-1 against the Western Conference, 15-5-2 against winning teams, 6-1 after one day of rest and 3-1-2 after a double-digit win. However, the Jazz are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games against Northwest Division rivals.
Portland carries “over” trends of 20-8 overall, 4-0 on the road, 10-1 against Western Conference teams, 5-1 against Northwest Division foes, 5-1 on Wednesday and 4-0 versus winning teams. Likewise, Utah is on “over” runs of 11-2 against division rivals, 4-0 on Wednesday, 4-0 versus winning teams and 4-1 when playing on one day of rest. Finally, the last four Jazz-Blazers battles have topped the total, as have three of the last four meetings in Salt Lake.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UTAH and OVER
Phoenix (29-21, 26-24 ATS) at Denver (33-15, 22-24-2 ATS)
The Suns continue a four-game road trip when they travel to the Mile High City, looking to defeat the Nuggets at the Pepsi Center for the first time in exactly three years.
Phoenix rallied in the fourth quarter on Friday to defeat Dallas 112-106 as a two-point home favorite, then set out on the road and scored back-to-back upset wins over Houston on Sunday (115-111 in overtime as a 3½-point ‘dog) and New Orleans on Monday (109-100 as a one-point pup). It’s the Suns’ first three-game winning streak since they took four in a row from Nov. 22-29. Also, their consecutive road victories come on the heels of a five-game road losing skid (1-4 ATS). Phoenix hasn’t won three straight on the highway since the second week of the season.
The SU winner is 23-3 ATS in the Suns’ last 26 games, including 9-1 ATS on the road.
Denver rallied from a 14-point halftime deficit Monday to knock off Sacramento 112-109 in overtime, falling short as an 11-point home favorite. Playing without injured All-Star forward Carmelo Anthony for the fifth straight game, the Nuggets outscored the Kings 62-45 in the second half and overtime after trailing 64-50 at halftime. Anthony is questionable to return tonight.
The Nuggets are riding a nine-game home winning streak, but they’re just 4-6-1 ATS in their last 11 at the Pepsi Center and 9-16-2 ATS in their last 27 overall.
The host has won 10 in a row in this series (8-2 ATS), including Denver’s 105-99 victory in the first meeting this year back on Dec. 12. However, Phoenix covered as a nine-point underdog, and the visitor has now cashed as an underdog in the last two battles after the home favorite had won and covered the previous seven meetings. Also, prior to the last two games, the SU winner had been on an 8-0 ATS run in this series and the host had cashed in 10 straight meetings.
The last time Phoenix won in Denver was Feb. 5, 2007, a 113-108 triumph as an 8½-point road favorite. It is 1-5 ATS in its last six trips to the Pepsi Center.
The Suns have covered in seven of their last 10 against winning teams, while Denver is on ATS runs of 5-1 on Wednesday, 5-0 after a non-cover and 5-2-1 against winning teams. However, the Nuggets also carry negative pointspread trends of 5-11 when playing after one day of rest, 4-11-2 against the Western Conference and 1-5-1 versus Pacific Division squads.
The high-scoring Suns are on “over” surges of 4-1 overall, 4-1 on the road, 12-3 against the Western Conference, 4-1-1 versus Northwest Division opponents, 20-7 on Wednesday and 7-3 after a SU victory. Also, Denver has topped the total in five of its last six at home and eight of its last nine on Wednesday.
Finally, the over is 7-3 in the last 10 series meetings between these teams and 4-1 in the last five battles at the Pepsi Center. In fact, the winning team has scored at least 102 points in each of the last 20 meetings, including tallying 118 or more in eight of the last 10.
ATS ADVANTAGE: DENVER and OVER
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