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ICE PICKS
Monday’s Best NHL Bets
Philadelphia Flyers at Calgary Flames (-130, 5.5)
If it ain’t broken, don’t fix it. Or, in the case of the Flames, if it is broken, do something about it quickly.
That’s what Calgary GM Darryl Sutter did on Sunday. The Flames shipped defenseman Dion Phaneuf, once thought as a franchise cornerstone, to the Maple Leafs for Matt Stajan, Niklas Hagman, Ian White and Jamal Mayers.
The trade was made in large part because of Calgary’s inability to score over the last month. The Flames notched just 14 goals over their recent nine-game losing streak.
While Stajan and Hagman should help Calgary on the offensive end, don’t expect any type of spark in the team’s first game since the roster makeover. Especially with winger Jarome Iginla still nursing a sore wrist.
Pick: Philadelphia
Carolina Hurricanes at Edmonton Oilers (115, 5.5)
The Oilers and ‘Canes have similarly poor season records but the two clubs are going in opposite directions. Carolina is 4-0 since Jan. 24, outscoring opponents 18-5 over the winning streak.
That’s quite a surprise spurt from a team that lost 16 of its opening 18 games this season.
"It's disappointing that it comes so late, but at the same time, it's there and we have a lot of pride," Matt Cullen told the Raleigh News & Observer. "We want to win games regardless of where we're at so it's nice to show our fans a good game and get a win and feel good about ourselves."
Edmonton’s season started alright but the last two months have been extremely cruel. The Oilers have dropped 20 of their last 21 games and were embarrassed again Saturday in a 6-1 loss to the Flames.
Expect the Hurricanes to add to Edmonton’s misery.
Pick: Carolina
PICK 'N' ROLL
Monday's Best NBA Bets
Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz (-3.5, 200.5)
It’s been a rough year for Dallas backers. On the one hand your team sits third in the highly competitive Western Conference at 30-17. But at the same time the Mavs are just 20-27 against the spread and have dropped failed to cover in eight of their last 10 games.
Friday’s overtime to the Portland Trail Blazers was a reality check for Dallas supporters. The Mavs let Andre Miller – yes, the same Miller who couldn’t make a 12-foot jump shot to save his life – to score 52 points.
Yikes.
Meanwhile the Jazz are playing their best ball so far this season. They’ve won nine of their last 10 but will be tested to continue the streak with Carlos Boozer out for a few games.
Pick: Jazz
Charlotte Bobcats at Portland Trail Blazers (-3, 188.5)
All season long the Bobcats have struggled to win away from home. At least that was the case until Charlotte’s latest road trip. Larry Brown’s boys are 3-1 straight up and ATS on their western swing.
The Bobcats aren’t content to simply go back home with a split on the six-game road trip.
“The way we’re playing, we’re capable of winning all these games,” All-Star forward Gerald Wallace told the Charlotte Observer after scoring 38 points in a 103-96 win over the Kings.
“This is the time for us to make a statement, particularly going into the All-Star break.”
Winning in Portland is never an easy task for any team, but catching the Blazers without leading scorer Brandon Roy should propel the Bobcats towards the victory.
Pick: Charlotte
GAMES OF THE DAY
Betting Big Monday
The Saints and Colts might be the focus for many people this week. Monday night, however, belongs to college hoops and ESPN’s Big Monday schedule. Things open up in the Bluegrass State with a battle between Big East foes. Then we’ll head to America’s Heartland for a Big XII tilt between schools angling for better spots in the NCAA Tournament.
Connecticut at Louisville – 7:00 p.m. EST
Is anyone wondering if Jim Calhoun is getting a little antsy about returning to the sidelines for Connecticut (13-8 straight up, 7-11-1 against the spread)?
I doubt anybody would blame him to come back after seeing his beloved Huskies falling in a 70-68 heartbreak against Marquette as five-point home favorites. This wasn’t a matter of the big names for UConn not coming through. Jerome Dyson dropped in 18 points, Stanley Robinson had 13 and Kemba Walker posted 15 points of his own. The team even shot a respectable 49 percent from the field and 71 percent from the charity stripe.
What was Connecticut’s undoing was the fact that they handed the ball over the Golden Eagles 16 times. Marquette, in stark contrast, coughed up the ball twice. This seems to be a mini-pattern going on with George Blaney’s (for now) club. Since upsetting then top-ranked Texas on Jan. 23, the Huskies have dropped games at Providence and the aforementioned loss at home to Marquette. In those two games, UConn has given the ball up 35 times with its opposition turning the ball over 16 times.
Rick Pitino and the Cardinals aren’t having the most fun out on the court right now, having lost five of their last eight contests. Louisville’s (13-8 SU, 6-10 ATS) latest setback came last Saturday as a 6 ½-point road ‘dog to the Mountaineers, 77-74.
The Cards had the same similar issue with turnovers against West Virginia (17-11), but were shooting 52 percent from the field and won the rebounding battle (32-30). What drew Pitino’s ire was the fact that the ‘Ville was called for 28 fouls in Morgantown. This is a program that gets 20.5 fouls called on them on average this season. So you can understand if Pitino thought that he had Enrico Polazzo officiating the game.
Las Vegas Sports Consultants has opened this game with Louisville as a four-point home “chalk.”
While the oddsmakers like the Cards at home, history has proven this series is for the dogs. Connecticut has posted a 5-2 SU record since 2000. Louisville, however, has gone 4-2-1 ATS in that time. The ‘under’ has hit in the last three games in Louisville.
The Cardinals have enjoyed better luck at Freedom Hall over the past two years with a 19-3 SU and 11-11 ATS. If you break that down to just this season, then the Cards are 11-3 SU and 3-6 ATS. And it gets worse for bettors if you’re looking at how they faced Big East foes, as evidenced by a 3-1 SU and 1-3 ATS mark this season.
Connecticut has been garbage in true road tests this year by going 0-4 SU and 2-2 ATS. Over the last two years, the Huskies are 9-5 SU and 8-6 ATS. The ‘under’ has practically been automatic with a 10-4 record.
Texas at Oklahoma State – 9:00 p.m. EST
Longhorn fans knew that their team wouldn’t go through the season undefeated, but they certainly didn’t think they’d see a slump. Texas (18-3 SU, 8-9 ATS) has fallen in three of its last four contests. The Orange Bloods’ most recent setback came on Jan. 30 in an 80-77 overtime setback to Baylor as nine-point home favorites.
While we can debate on how Texas pissed away the game in regulation, let’s just focus on overtime. The Bears had pushed UT into foul trouble in the second half, and that paid off in the extra session. Baylor was able to take 10 free thrown in OT; the Bears made eight of those attempts.
Gamblers have officially ran away from backing the ‘Horns like single guys evading the Octomom’s advances as they’ve failed to cover the number in eight straight games.
Oklahoma State (16-5 SU, 9-5-1 ATS) had a decent three-game win streak snapped by the Tigers last Saturday 95-80 as a 7 ½-point road pup. I’d like to tell you that the Cowpokes had a chance in this game, but they shot 45 percent from the field, 34 percent from beyond the arc. When you consider that Mizzou was hitting 52 percent of its shots, you can understand that they were going to run away with a win.
LVSC has installed the Longhorns as slight 1 ½-point road favorites for this contest.
The ‘Horns don’t have any problems about getting into the NCAA Tournament. The Cowboys, on the other hand, could really use a win in this spot. ESPN’s Joe Lunardi have them situated as an 11th-seed, which is by no means a guaranteed berth in the Big Dance.
The recent history of this series has leaned towards Texas as they’ve won seven of the last 10 meetings SU. The Longhorns aren’t covering for gamblers in this head-to-head matchup either with a 5-4-1 ATS mark.
Oklahoma State does have the benefit of knowing that it won its last home game against the ‘Horns on Feb. 28 last season, 68-59. Even better is that they covered as a one-point home favorite.
This series has seen the ‘under’ go 6-1 in the last seven meetings.
The ‘Pokes have been dominant in Stillwater this season as they’re 10-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS. When posted as a home underdog, however, Oklahoma State is just 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS since 2007. The ‘under’ has gone 4-1 during that stretch.
We know that the Longhorns have lost two straight games on the road, failing to cover in both instances. Over the last two years, they have gone just 7-8 SU away from Austin. Gamblers have known to stay away in these games as the Orange Bloods are 3-12 ATS in that same stretch of true road fixtures.
RINKPLAY SPORTS:
2* Philadelphia Flyers over Calgary Flames
2* Buffalo Sabres and Pittsburgh Penguins Under
No free selection today.
SPORTS ADVISORS
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
Connecticut (13-8, 8-11 ATS) at Louisville (13-8, 6-10 ATS)
UConn tries to snap a two-game losing streak when the Huskies travel to Freedom Hall for a Big East showdown with the Cardinals.
Connecticut dropped a 70-68 decision to Marquette on Saturday as a five-point home favorite. The Huskies dominated the game statistically, holding Marquette to 38.1 percent shooting and outrebounding the Golden Eagles 41-18, but they turned the ball over 16 times compared to Marquette’s two giveaways. Despite knocking off then-No. 1 Texas nine days ago, UConn has lost five of seven (SU and ATS) overall and is just 1-6 SU (3-4 ATS) away from home this season.
Louisville has lost four of five overall (SU and ATS), including Saturday’s 77-74 road setback at West Virginia, but the Cardinals got the cash as 6½-point ‘dogs to snap an 0-5 ATS slide. Louisville shot 51.9 percent from the floor and outrebounded the Mountaineers 32-30, but they turned the ball over 17 times and blew a 12-point lead with 10 minutes to play. The Cardinals are 11-3 at home this season but they have cashed in just three of nine lined contests at Freedom Hall.
The Huskies went to Freedom Hall last season and scored a 68-51 win as a 2½-point underdog. UConn has won two straight in this rivalry and five of the last seven (3-3-1 ATS) dating back to 2006. The road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six series clashes.
UConn is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after a non-cover and 3-7 ATS in its last 10 after a straight-up loss. Louisville is 43-17-2 ATS in its last 62 Big East games and 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 Monday contests, but otherwise the Cardinals are on negative ATS runs of 1-5 overall (all in Big East play), 1-4 at home, 0-6 after a spread-cover and 1-4 after a straight-up loss.
The Huskies are on “under” streaks of 9-3 on the road, 5-1 after a non-cover and 9-3 on the road against a team with a winning home record. Louisville has stayed below the total in seven of 10 Monday contests but it is on “over” runs of 11-4 overall, 6-2 at home, 5-1 in Big East contests and 11-5 after a straight-up loss. In this rivalry, the “under” has been the play in three of the last four contests.
ATS ADVANTAGE: LOUISVILLE
(6) Texas (18-3, 7-10 ATS) at Oklahoma State (16-5, 9-5-1 ATS)
The slumping Longhorns make the trek to Gallagher IBA Arena in Stillwater, Okla., for a Big 12 matchup with Oklahoma State.
Since moving to the No. 1 ranking two weeks ago, Texas has lost three of four overall and it has failed to cash in eight straight contests. On Saturday, the Longhorns hosted Baylor and lost 80-77 in overtime as a nine-point home favorite, shooting just 38.6 percent from the floor and going just 4-for-15 from beyond the three-point line. Rick Barnes’ won its first six games (5-1 ATS) away from home but has dropped its last two on the highway both SU and ATS.
The Cowboys went to Missouri on Saturday and got stomped 95-80 as a 7½-point underdog, ending a three-game winning streak. Oklahoma State has won 16 straight at Gallagher Iba Arena dating to last season (11-0 this year), going 8-0-1 ATS in nine lined contests in front of the home fans. That includes a 7-0 SU and ATS mark when hosting Big 12 rivals.
The host has won eight of the last nine series clashes (7-2 ATS), including both meetings last season when Texas scored a 99-74 home win as an 8½-point favorite and then 18 days later the Cowboys won 68-59 in Stillwater as a one-point home chalk. Oklahoma State is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five overall against Texas 6-2 ATS in the last eight clashes at Gallagher Iba Arena.
Texas is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 Monday games, but otherwise the Longhorns are on a plethora of ATS slides, including the aforementioned 0-8 overall, 0-5 on the road 5-20-1 in Big 12 games and 3-12-1 on the road against teams with winning home records. Oklahoma State is on positive ATS streaks of 20-6-1 overall, 34-16-3 at home, 13-4 in Big 12 action and 4-1 after a straight-up loss.
The Longhorns have stayed below the total in 12 of 16 Monday games, but they’re otherwise on “over” streaks of 6-2 overall, 5-1 on the road, 5-2 in conference game and 6-2 after a non-cover. The Cowboys are on “over” runs of 4-1 overall and 4-1 in Big 12 games, but they’ve stayed below the posted number in 18 of 25 Monday games, eight of 11 at home and six of seven against winning teams. Finally, the “under” has been the play in six of the last seven in this rivalry.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OKLAHOMA STATE
NBA
L.A. Lakers (37-11, 22-24-2 ATS) at Memphis (25-21, 26-19-1 ATS)
The Lakers wrap up their eight-game, 11-day road trip with a stop at the FedEx forum to face the Grizzlies, who look to resume their home dominance..
Kobe Bryant hit a fade-away jump shot with less than eight seconds to play as Los Angeles rallied from a 13-point fourth-quarter deficit to beat the Celtics 90-89, pushing as a one-point road favorite. The Lakers have won four in a row (3-0-1 ATS) and are 5-1 (4-1-1 ATS) in their last six games on this trip. The SU winner is 14-0-2 ATS in the Lakers’ last 16 games, including 6-0-1 ATS in the last seven, and the winner is 14-0-1 ATS in their last 15 on the highway.
Memphis has dropped two in a row, including a 109-102 overtime setback to New Orleans on Saturday, falling as a 7½-point home chalk. The Grizzlies saw their 11-game home winning streak come to an end in the defeat despite 25-point games from both Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol, who also chipped in a combined 28 rebounds. The Grizzlies are 17-6 at home this season and they’ve cashed in 14 of those 23 contests.
The Lakers have won five straight series clashes (3-2 ATS), including a 114-98 blowout in Los Angeles on Nov. 6, easily cashing as a 9½-point favorite. L.A. has also won four straight games in Memphis (2-2 ATS), including a 115-98 victory in their final visit a year ago, cashing as 10½-point favorites. Despite all that, the Grizzlies are 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings, cashing in nine of the last 13 at the FedEx Forum.
Los Angeles is on ATS slides of 0-5-1 on Monday and 1-6-1 on the road against teams with winning home records, but it is on positive pointspread runs of 4-1-1 on the road and 5-2 on the second night of a back-to-back. Memphis is just 8-18-1 ATS in its last 27 home games against teams with winning road records, but the Grizzlies are on positive ATS streaks of 14-6-1 overall, 19-8-1 at home and 3-0-1 on Mondays.
The Lakers have stayed below the posted number in 10 of 14 against Southwest Division teams, but they’ve topped the total in four of six overall on this road trip. The Grizzlies are on “over” streaks of 13-6 overall, 11-5 at home against teams with winning road records, 4-1 against Western Conference teams and 8-1 on Monday. In this series, the “over” has been the play in four of five played in Memphis.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
Dallas (30-17, 20-27 ATS) at Utah (28-18, 27-17-2 ATS)
The Mavericks try to snap a two-game losing streak when they visit EnergySolutions Arena in Salt Lake City for a matchup with a Jazz squad that has rattled off five straight wins.
Dallas fell at home in overtime on Saturday, losing 114-112 to the Blazers as 8½-point favorites. The 28-point, nine-rebound performance from Dirk Nowitzki wasn’t enough as the Mavericks failed to cash for the 11th time in their last 14 contests. They are 16-9 (15-10 ATS) on the road this season, but they’ve lost two of their last three SU and ATS on the highway.
Utah has won nine of 10 overall (7-1-2 ATS), including a 101-94 victory over Sacramento on Friday, falling short as an 8½-point favorite without the services of point guard Deron Williams (listed as probable for tonight) and power forward Carlos Boozer (who is out seven to 10 days with a calf injury). The Jazz have gone 9-1-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall, and they are 19-6 at home this season (16-8-1 ATS).
These teams have split two matchups this season, both in Dallas. The Mavericks prevailed 96-85 as a 6½-point home favorite on Nov. 3, but Utah got revenge in a big way with a 111-93 rout as a 5½-point underdog on Jan. 9. The Jazz are 13-3-1 ATS in the last 17 clashes in Utah as the home team has dominated this series, going 21-5-1 ATS in the last 27 games. In fact, the host had won nine in a row prior to Utah’s victory in Dallas last month.
The Mavericks are on a slew of negative ATS tends, including 8-20 overall, 0-5 against Western Conference teams, 1-8 after getting a day off, 1-4 against Northwest Division teams and 2-6 on Monday. On the opposite side, it’s been nothing but positive for Utah at the betting window lately, currently on ATS streaks of 9-1-2 overall, 35-17 against Southwest Division teams, 23-8 on Monday, 3-0-1 after two days off, 8-1 after a non-cover and 6-0-2 against teams with a winning record.
Dallas has stayed below the total in 10 of 14 Monday games, but it is on “over” streaks of 4-0 overall, 6-1 against Western Conference teams and 11-5 against teams with a winning record. The Jazz are on “over” runs of 5-2 overall, 10-4 against southwest Division teams, 6-1 on Monday and 5-1 against the Western Conference. However, in this series, the “under” has cashed in eight of the last 10 in Salt Lake City.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
REDZONE SPORTS
free internet play:
Okla. St./Texas over (NCAAB)
DCI
Season: 280-184 (.603)
PITTSBURGH 3, Buffalo 2
Anaheim vs. FLORIDA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
CALGARY 3, Philadelphia 2
Carolina vs. EDMONTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
DCI
Straight Up: 466-200 (.700)
ATS: 380-313 (.548)
ATS Vary Units: 934-758 (.552)
Over/Under: 343-350 (.495)
Over/Under Vary Units: 489-510 (.489)
Boston 99, WASHINGTON 95
MIAMI 99, Milwaukee 93
L.A. Lakers 104, MEMPHIS 100
NEW ORLEANS 110, Phoenix 107
DENVER 114, Sacramento 99
UTAH 105, Dallas 97
PORTLAND 95, Charlotte 91
DCI
Straight Up: 2559-812 (.759)
ATS: 1045-1060 (.496)
ATS Vary Units: 3051-3177 (.490)
Over/Under: 884-888 (.499)
Over/Under Vary Units: 1333-1323 (.502)
Atlantic Sun Conference
EAST TENNESSEE STATE 77, Belmont 71
MERCER 81, Florida Gulf Coast 70
Lipscomb 78, CAMPBELL 77
KENNESAW STATE 71, Stetson 59
Big 12 Conference
Texas vs. OKLAHOMA STATE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Big East Conference
LOUISVILLE 79, Connecticut 72
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference
IONA 67, Canisius 57
Mid-American Conference
AKRON 70, Eastern Michigan 52
KENT STATE 79, Northern Illinois 62
BOWLING GREEN STATE 64, Toledo 47
BUFFALO 75, Western Michigan 66
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
NORFOLK STATE 74, Coppin State 71
Hampton 61, UMES 58
DELAWARE STATE 63, Howard 55
Morgan State 81, NORTH CAROLINA A&T 69
South Carolina State 72, FLORIDA A&M 67
Southwestern Athletic Conference
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE 72, Grambling State 64
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF 69, Jackson State 62
ALABAMA STATE 68, Prairie View A&M 61
Texas Southern 70, ALABAMA A&M 68
Non-Conference
SEATTLE 87, Eastern Washington 79
BETHUNE-COOKMAN 65, Winston-Salem State 55
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