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    by Published on 04-01-2011 09:03 AM

    Well the Masters at Augusta is almost upon us. So lets look at two of the big guys that are going to be teeing it up this week at the Masters.


    World Golf Rank:
    PM: 6
    TW: 5

    PM: California
    TW: Florida among other places....he has lived at one place that makes their course conditions like Augusta and I believe that where he is moving is also supposed to be like Augusta.

    Wins at Augusta:
    PM: 3 (Won last year)
    TW: 4 (Last in 2005)

    History at Augusta:
    PM: Has not been worse than 24th place since 1997. Toss out that, a T12, and a cut, and he has not been out of the top 10 since 1995.
    TW: Has not been worse than 22nd place since 1997. Toss out that, a T-18, and a T15 and he has not been out of the top 8 since 1997.

    KEY MASTERS STATS: (courtesy of the book "How to win the Big Game")
    PM: 113th
    TW: 54th

    Putting AVG:
    PM: 43rd
    TW: 105th

    Birdie AVG:
    PM: 7th
    TW: 96th

    My take:

    Go with Phil over Tiger this week, although both should be in the top 20 imo. This course was built for these two players. I really think that Phil will be in the midst of it on Sunday which could mean another win. I don't think that Tiger will have everything figured out until later this year. Also looking at the odds, both are about the same odds. At Pin, the most important line, they are pretty much even with each other. I like Phil to beat Tiger this week, and prob to even win.
    by Published on 03-13-2011 10:48 AM

    Will eventually put this up on the front page as well, but for starters will just do the list in this thread. Some of these may seem like common sense if you want to win a bracket contest, but others I hope to help you out some with a decision or two this year.

    First a little preview on why I love this time of the year so much. I used to sit down and do 40-50 brackets and dump them into basically any contest I could find with about 4-5 in cash contests for "real" prizes. But, I have learned a little where to put brackets and how many brackets to make for the time I have. I usually do about 10 or so, but if I have more time I make more. I have won a bracket contest each year the last 4 years and two years I placed in the money in two, so I expect to make money each year. Now lets start the list:

    #1....How many brackets to do? This may seem like common sense, but the more you do the more chances you have. I used to do a ton, but for my time I think that only the contests where there is an entry fee and a prize pool are worth it for me. Brackets take on average about 10-15 minutes to create/write down/ register for the site/ and enter. Because, remember you want to be using all your real info, the only reason to enter is to win a prize and the sites will not give it to you if you screw with them. With it actually taking a fair amount of time to enter a lot of brackets it is almost better to find good pools or contests for the most money/prizes and least entries. Sometimes these contests let you enter multiple times which is always nice too.

    #2....Who do you take to win it all? This is possibly the most important thing to worry about, especially in more classic style contests where the winner matters more. If you are playing in a format where points double each round you should only consider taking a team that is one of the odds on favorites to win it all. If you are playing in a format that rewards the early rounds more or even rewards picking underdogs, you might take a team that is slightly lower in the odds. However, PICK A FAVORITE NO MATTER WHAT. By lower on the odds I only meant maybe 5-10th in the odds. In fact here is my usual rule of thumb if I am doing brackets:

    1 Golden Bracket - Whoever you feel will win...lol.
    2-5 Brackets - at most top three in odds
    5-10 brackets - at most top five in odds
    10-30 brackets - at most top 10 in odds
    30+ brackets - I would never use a team that is out of the top 20 in odds, and that is if you are doing like 50+ brackets or have some sort of feeling about a team.....but it is just not smart to do it. Even if you are making that many brackets, you can give yourself a better shot by just picking another fav instead of a long shot. Remember if a seed of even 3+ wins it all there will be many many bracket winners who did not have the team winning it all.

    #3......Who do you take to win it...(cont) Two last things to think about when picking a winner are where are you submitting your bracket and how many people are in the pool you are entering. These two things can help you put your brackets in places where they will do the best if the teams you selected do well in that bracket. First think about this..... if you live in South Bend, Indiana and enter a pool, you know that about half the people will probably have ND winning it all. So, if you are entering 20 brackets you send the brackets where you have ND winning it to maybe some pool that is being run in California or something like that. Because that way if ND does well you would be one of the only people to have them instead of one of about half the entries. I hope that makes sense, because it is very important to winning contests. 2nd is how many people are in the contest and how smart collectively are they.... If you are entering a contest with alot of people you probably want to put in one of your brackets where you have a worse seeded team winning it all. If you are entering a pool with friends and only about 10-15 are in it, pick the odds on fav or very close to it. You are going to submit all your brackets anyways, and better team does win it all you have a better shot of winning a small bracket contest than a large one.

    Those two rules alone put you way ahead of everyone else if you are making many brackets because one of your brackets are bound to do well.....and if you have them placed correctly you should make money.

    #4 Picking a Big upset in RD 1.....Just dont do it. When you get your bracket, chalk up the 1 and 2 seeds to go two rounds in EVERY BRACKET you make. Again the odds of a one or two seed losing the first game are very small and thus unless I have some crazy feeling I never have 7-10 seeds going past a 1 or 2 seed.

    Here was something I posted in 2008...have not updated it, but it can still apply I think.

    Be very selective picking any team below a #12 seed. #16 seeds are 0 for 88. #15 seeds are 4 for 88. #13 and #14 seeds are less than 19% combined.
    #5 Picking other upsets in RD 1....I still like to be very selective because you can hurt yoursefl tremendously, but think about this. 9v8 are basically 50%, with I think 9s even winning slightly more. 12s are another seed that seems to do well in the first round. The reason is because the teams seeded at 12 are generally good teams and the 12 vs 5 matchup is historically the 3-6 seeds from power conferences vs the small conference tourney winners. These two teams usually have never met and can actually match up very even. ***When picking upsets I never like to pick one team to upset more than one time. So if I picked a 12 to beat a 5 seed, I would pick the 12 to get upset in the next round. It is just smart to do that once again.

    In the end, check the sportsbook and dont pick too big an underdog to win and if you do pick an upset....generally you should pick them to lose their next game (unless they would be the fav somehow) because that way you cover yourself if they indeed did lose the game you predicted them to upset.

    Will add to this later tonight or tomorrow.
    by Published on 02-28-2011 11:08 AM

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    by Published on 02-09-2011 09:37 AM  Number of Views: 7873 

    Thankyou to all those who have reached out and told me or UGK that you can help. Today and tomorrow it is my plan to make contact with all of you and try to organize. We are always looking for volunteers to help out with the site, so if you see anything below you might want to do, let me know. Id appreciate hearing from you. If you have already contacted me, I will get in touch with you today or tomorrow.

    General Moderator - Helps with general things, but main job is to try and increase posting activity.
    -Sub category would be someone who is around at night time and can help us stay busier into the evening.

    Service Play Moderator - Work directly with UGK and others to put out the best free service plays anywhere online.

    Contest Moderator - Work directly with myself to setup and run contests

    Poker Moderator - Work directly with myself to setup and run poker.

    Promotion Moderator - Works directly with myself to write articles for the front page, promote on other sites promo areas,
    by Published on 07-24-2010 06:53 PM

    New to Sports Wagering? here is a great read for those newbies.

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    by Published on 07-24-2010 05:12 PM

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